As his polls have soured in recent weeks, Donald Trump has turned to an old chestnut, warning about the hellscape that awaits America if Vice President Kamala Harris is elected.
He has said she would "obliterate" Social Security and Medicare, and "destroy" the country. He's said she would "end" not just fracking but also fossil fuel use as a whole. He has predicted her election would lead to a stock market crash on par with the Great Depression. And on Sunday, he even predicted annihilation.
"There will be no future under Comrade Kamala Harris, because she will take us into a Nuclear World War III!" Trump said on X.
Politics as a business is full of hyperbole, and politicians often warn broadly about their opponents' plans. But Trump has made very specific predictions about what would befall the country in ways that allow us to examine his track record.
*A stock market crash/new Great Depression - Dow Jones average 01/20/21 = 31,188.38 Dow Jones today = 41,230.46 (3:22pm EDT)
*Lockdowns - The Education Department reported the percentage of public school students learning in-person full time rose from 46 percent when Biden took office to 95 percent by the end of 2021. The federal government did not ban family gatherings for holidays or weddings, and many schools held in-person graduations in the spring of 2021.
*$7 to $9 gas - The current averages are $3.35 nationally and $3.40 in Michigan.
*China owning' the United States - Chinese imports have fallen during the Biden administration, even as other countries have become more reliant upon Chinese products. U.S. imports from Mexico actually surpassed those from China.
*Wiping out the Second Amendment - The Second Amendment still exists, and there has been no real Democratic effort to repeal it or confiscate guns on a broad scale. Gun manufacturing, meanwhile, has hit new highs under Biden.
*Eliminating police departments, borders and religious liberty - The federal government hasn't dismantled police departments, and data suggest police hiring is on the rise after declines stemming from the pandemic and the racial justice protests after the police killing of George Floyd. Illegal border crossings are now the lowest in four years, dating back to the Trump administration. Religious liberty has not been terminated.
*Banning fracking and destroying Pennsylvania energy - Fracking (short for hydraulic fracturing) is still legal and has played a key role in sending U.S. crude oil production to new highs, according to the U.S. Energy Information Association. And Pennsylvania's energy industry is the second-largest net supplier of energy to other states.
The only thing Trump has been consistent about is being 100% wrong on his predictions.