Harris Maintains Small National Lead

Thursday, October 24, 2024

A new national University of Massachusetts Amherst Poll finds Kamala Harris holds a two-point lead nationally over Donald Trump, 48% to 46%. A new TIPP poll shows Harris leading 50% to 47%.

Posted by reinheitsgebot at 08:50 PM | 26 COMMENTS | permalink

Comments

Independents are fleeing from Epstein's wingman.

#1 | Posted by reinheitsgebot at 2024-10-24 08:51 PM

It's actually a sizeable lead, but that goes against the horserace narrative.

#2 | Posted by a_monson at 2024-10-25 12:03 AM

... A new TIPP poll shows ...

The recent trend is not looking good for VP Harris ...

www.realclearpolling.com

Scroll down for the chart.

#3 | Posted by LampLighter at 2024-10-25 12:13 PM

Harris will lose the popular vote, but win the election.

#4 | Posted by oneironaut at 2024-10-25 12:15 PM

Trump voters are being undercounted.

Both 2016 and 2020 polls underestimated Trumps support.

You know that's happening again...right?

#5 | Posted by BillJohnson at 2024-10-25 07:42 PM

It's the nature of conservatives to be less open with their views.

Their media skepticism and preference for privacy will skew statistics.

Did before and will again.

#6 | Posted by BillJohnson at 2024-10-25 07:47 PM

It's the nature of conservatives to be less open with their views.

Their media skepticism and preference for privacy will skew statistics.

Did before and will again.

Posted by BillJohnson at 2024-10-25 07:47 PM | Reply

You sure pull a lot of stuff out from your hiney don't you. You MAGA folks prove that statement of your's as a lie.

#7 | Posted by LauraMohr at 2024-10-25 07:58 PM

" Trump voters are being undercounted."

What a riot.

The Dobbs Effect is what's being under-counted. Every poll since that SCOTUS decision has defied the polls.

The KS abortion rights question polled 47-46. Results were more like 61-37.

The OH rights question required 60% just to get it on the ballot. Polls predicted 58%; results were closer to 68%.

AL had a longtime (R) state Congressional seat won by a (D) woman who ran on ONE ISSUE. Again, polls were waaaay off.

And most recently OH06, a +29 Trump district, went to the (R), but only by 8-9 points. Pollsters were dead wrong, again.

All harbingers.

When ABC calls NC for Governor-elect Stein at 8:01 Eastern, you'll know the tsunami is underway.

#8 | Posted by Danforth at 2024-10-25 08:17 PM

Harris is speaking Texas tonight, and Israel has conducted military strikes inside of Iran.

Timing is everything.

#9 | Posted by redlightrobot at 2024-10-25 08:19 PM

"When ABC calls NC for Governor-elect Stein at 8:01 Eastern, you'll know the tsunami is underway." -

#8 | Posted by Danforth

All the more reason why we want to see the shrimptacodan's November 5th challenge fulfilled ...

#10 | Posted by Hans at 2024-10-25 08:33 PM

Laura,

"You MAGA folks prove that statement of your's as a lie"

When Trump wins will you accept the results or will it be a lie?

#11 | Posted by BillJohnson at 2024-10-25 08:37 PM

@#11 ... When Trump wins will you accept the results or will it be a lie? ...

When SCOTUS declared Pres Bush to be the winner back in the day, did the Democrats storm the Capitol?

#12 | Posted by LampLighter at 2024-10-25 08:41 PM

When Trump wins will you accept the results or will it be a lie?

#11 | Posted by BillJohnson at 2024-10-25 08:37 PM | Reply

Unlike you. I'll accept the results of the election.

#13 | Posted by LauraMohr at 2024-10-25 08:51 PM

I'll accept the results of the election.

Yup.

#14 | Posted by horstngraben at 2024-10-25 08:52 PM

Lamp,

Again...I believe it was mail-in used used like they were that created the situation where they broke in.

If it had been a regular election (pre covid), I do not believe they would have actually gone so far as to break in. They would have been disappointed but without the mail-in ballots used as they were there would have been no reason to feel the election results may have been incorrect. I don't believe all the things people are claiming Jan 6 was attempting to accomphlish. It was a very bad mistake breaking in though.

People today are a lot more intense and angry than the Bush election.

If Trump wins are you sure liberals won't start riots?

#15 | Posted by BillJohnson at 2024-10-25 08:56 PM

Mother ------. It wasn't a break in. It was a full fledged insurrection. Oh and would you stop with the mail-in voting as the excuse for it. You have yet to show ANY proof of any shenanigans regarding the use of mail-in ballots.

#16 | Posted by LauraMohr at 2024-10-25 08:59 PM

#15 | Posted by BILLJOHNSON (new)

What kind of **cked-up world does BILLJOHNSON live in?

He actually believes that a woman would carry a wanted child for 6, 7, 8, even 9 months, and then callously decides to abort said wanted child, because just exactly why?

The reason why is that BILLJOHNSON and his ilk believe that women are just too stupid to leave their health care in the hands of the people who actually know what's going on: the woman and her health care provider This includes the decision to abort a child.

So, since BILLJOHNSON and his ilk believe that they know what's best for women - women they will never meet and never know - they want the government in the same room as the woman and her health care provider. And why is that? It is because they can't be there themselves.

That's the kind of **cked-up world BILLJOHNSON and his ilk long to live in.