Wednesday, February 19, 2025

NASA: 'City Killer' Asteroid Has 3 Percent Chance of Hitting Earth

NASA data released Tuesday said there is now a 3.1 percent chance a "city-destroying" asteroid could smash into Earth in 2032. The asteroid named 2024 YR4 is being carefully monitored by the international astronomical community.

Posted by LampLighter at 04:30 PM | 17 COMMENTS | permalink

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Nasa upgrades chances of asteroid 2024 YR4 hitting Earth in disaster event

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-- The Independent (@the-independent.com) February 18, 2025 at 7:51 AM

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More from the article...

... An asteroid that could level a city now has a 3.1-percent chance of striking Earth in 2032, according to NASA data released on Tuesday, making it the most threatening space rock ever recorded by modern forecasting.

But, despite the rising odds, experts say there is no need for alarm. The global astronomical community is closely monitoring the situation and the James Webb Space Telescope is set to fix its gaze on the object, known as 2024 YR4, next month.

"I'm not panicking," Bruce Betts, chief scientist for the nonprofit Planetary Society told AFP.

"Naturally when you see the percentages go up, it doesn't make you feel warm and fuzzy and good," he added, But as astronomers gather more data, he explained, the probability will likely edge up before rapidly dropping to zero. ...



#1 | Posted by LampLighter at 2025-02-18 05:53 PM

They upped it after the full moon.

But, despite the rising odds, experts say there is no need for alarm.

Then what's the point of the thread? Nothing to see here.

#2 | Posted by oneironaut at 2025-02-18 05:56 PM

Just don't look up

Problem Solved

#3 | Posted by truthhurts at 2025-02-18 06:06 PM

I believe 2023 and 2024 have already happened

#4 | Posted by LauraMohr at 2025-02-18 06:10 PM

@#4 ... I believe 2023 and 2024 have already happened ...

As do I.

Yeah, there is a typo in the article, which I quoted. (oops)

It should be 2032, not 2023.

I missed that.

I thank your eagle-eyes for the correction!

:)


#5 | Posted by LampLighter at 2025-02-18 06:24 PM

Ahhhhhbb gotcha. Thanks for the heads up.

#6 | Posted by LauraMohr at 2025-02-18 06:32 PM

I believe 2023 and 2024 have already happened

#4 | POSTED BY LAURAMOHR

Thanks for ruining a good time Laura! Gee whiz.

#7 | Posted by a_monson at 2025-02-18 09:27 PM

Set the controls for the heart of Mar-A-Lardo

#8 | Posted by LegallyYourDead at 2025-02-18 09:42 PM

asteroid could smash into Earth in 2023.

So this is hell, makes sense.

#9 | Posted by ClownShack at 2025-02-18 09:43 PM

(Btw, joke poking fun. Saw that it's 2032.)

#10 | Posted by ClownShack at 2025-02-18 09:44 PM

Don't worry. I'm sure Elon will be getting tens, if not hundreds, of billions of dollars in contracts to develop new meaningless ways of landing rockets that don't do s(*& to further a actual goal while claiming he's saving humanity from the big bad asteroid.

#11 | Posted by jpw at 2025-02-19 02:06 AM

What did von Braun warn about? A series of fake imperatives?

#12 | Posted by redlightrobot at 2025-02-19 11:39 AM

www.youtube.com

I'm rooting for the asteroid.

#13 | Posted by BluSky at 2025-02-19 01:17 PM

Just don't look up

Can we ship the billionaires to that planet now?

#14 | Posted by Nixon at 2025-02-19 03:39 PM

It would be nice if marlargo was in it's crosshairs.

#15 | Posted by bat4255 at 2025-02-19 07:12 PM

Nothing to see here.

#2 | POSTED BY ONEIRONAUT

Speaking of probabilities..

I'd bet this Orwellian freak has a 3 percent chance of ever getting laid without paying for it.

#16 | Posted by donnerboy at 2025-02-20 10:31 AM

I wonder what kind of bribe the little grey guys would need to give it a nudge in the right direction. Maybe something creative, like a modified orbit with a really close perihelion so it comes back around and hits earth with a respectable percentage of C - .03% would fix everything :)

#17 | Posted by billy_boy at 2025-02-20 09:24 PM

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