NYT’s questions validity of Harris Polls

Saturday, August 17, 2024

Last week's New York Times/Siena College polls showing Vice President Kamala Harris leading in three swing states led some Republicans and Democrats to ask the same question: Is this real? At the center of this question is whether the Times/Siena polls have enough voters who supported Donald J. Trump in 2020. The Trump campaign released a memo arguing that our polls would have actually showed a Trump lead if we had weighted the results properly.

Posted by Bluewaffles at 09:18 AM | 15 COMMENTS | permalink | Comment on This Entry |

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True or not, if you look at historicals on polls with Trump he does 3-5% better on actual results depending on what the poll says (true in both 2016 and 2020). Kamala needs to safely lead by +6 in order to ensure victory.

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At the center of this question is whether the Times/Siena polls have enough voters who supported Donald J. Trump in 2020

Posted by Bluewaffles

Lack of randomness in sampling leads to no statistical evidence at all.|

#1 | Posted by Zed at 2024-08-17 10:34 AM | Reply

The Trump campaign released a memo arguing that our polls would have actually showed a Trump lead if we had weighted the results properly.

Posted by Bluewaffles

LOL.

Then release a poll "weighted" in the direction you want. That would be impressive.

Trump feels that he will lose in the very marrow of his bones.

#2 | Posted by Zed at 2024-08-17 10:35 AM | Reply

"Kamala needs to safely lead by +6 in order to ensure victor"

Tut-tut.

You just need heavier "weights" for Trump to overcome this.

#3 | Posted by Zed at 2024-08-17 10:37 AM | Reply

At the center of this question is whether the Times/Siena polls have enough voters who supported Donald J. Trump in 2020

Posted by Bluewaffles

I have an idea:

Do a poll that samples NO ONE but voters that supported trump in 2020.

#4 | Posted by Zed at 2024-08-17 11:00 AM | Reply

Another garbage rwing article from another garbage rwing fake news site.... with no author listed.

Trumpers just Reek of Desperation these days.

#5 | Posted by Corky at 2024-08-17 01:35 PM | Reply | Funny: 1 | Newsworthy 2

mediabiasfactcheck.com

DNyuz.com is an Armenian website founded and run by Hayk Karapetyan, a web developer living in Armenia.

The site is notorious for plagiarizing content from major news sources, copying articles verbatim and embedding their advertising code for profit. DNyuz lacks transparency, with no information available about its authors, owners, location, or mission.

Owned by Hayk Karapetyan, DNyuz.com has a questionable reputation in the media industry due to blatant plagiarism, poor sourcing, and a complete lack of transparency.

The website's practices have drawn criticism and led to its removal from Google Adsense, although it continues to operate with other third-party advertisers."

www.capitol.ai

#6 | Posted by Corky at 2024-08-17 01:44 PM | Reply | Newsworthy 1

Dude they just bypass the Paywall so you can read the articles from specific news sites. If you need me to link directly to the paywalled version I'm more than happy to Corky.

#7 | Posted by Bluewaffles at 2024-08-17 03:21 PM | Reply

Wafflecone is a ridiculous stooge.

We're all laughing at you, boy.

#8 | Posted by LegallyYourDead at 2024-08-17 04:39 PM | Reply

Great Legallyretarded!

#9 | Posted by Bluewaffles at 2024-08-17 05:10 PM | Reply

You stay up all night "thinking" that one up?

SAD!

#10 | Posted by LegallyYourDead at 2024-08-18 10:52 AM | Reply

"Is this real?"

Don't know about you but I am pretty sure this is just a bad dream.

Maybe an undigested bit of beef, a blot of mustard, a crumb of cheese, a fragment of underdone potato.

Will the conman or the lawyer become the Prez?

Who knows?

youtu.be

#11 | Posted by donnerboy at 2024-08-18 11:03 AM | Reply

Then release a poll "weighted" in the direction you want. That would be impressive.

I remember 2012 the hot GOP baloney was "unskewed polls" which showed Romeny with huge lead over Obama due to the polls being correctly "weighted". Remember how successful Romney's first term as President was?

#12 | Posted by Nixon at 2024-08-19 01:48 PM | Reply

BTW...NYT can F**K ALL THE WAY OFF.

For a month all they said was "Joe needs to bow out".

Joe bows out.

Now they're saying is "Joe Biden was ousted in a coup".

#13 | Posted by Nixon at 2024-08-19 01:52 PM | Reply | Newsworthy 1

This article isn't from the NYT.

The headline is poorly written, I'm assuming because the author of this thread is a notorious troll.

#14 | Posted by ClownShack at 2024-08-19 03:00 PM | Reply

www.nytimes.com

"If there were any doubt whether Kamala Harris has transformed this year's presidential election, this morning's latest New York Times/Siena College polls put it to rest.

In our first swing state polls since her entry into the race, Vice President Harris leads Donald J. Trump by four points each in Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin among likely voters. It's a major shift from previous Times/Siena polls, which found Mr. Trump leading Ms. Harris and President Biden by an average of one or two points each across the same three states."

#15 | Posted by YAV at 2024-08-19 05:57 PM | Reply