The time for any nefarious actor to act is under the Trumpf junta, like Erdogan jailing his political opponent (not a peep from the White House). China is spending millions on this massive exercise around Taiwan and their fleet recently conducted drills in the Tasman Sea between Australia and Taiwan. The military planners in Beijing have four years to act. As capitalists, China would rather absorb Taiwan without damaging its industries and killing too many of their fellow Chinese. In Oct 1962 JFK used the USN to embargo Cuba during the missile crisis and I could see Beijing attempting such a suffocation, causing Taipei to "tap out." USSECDEF Pete Hellsbreath talks about defending Taiwan, but does the junta mean it?