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... It's been a bad stretch of polling for President Donald Trump.
In recent weeks, a string of new polls has found Trump losing ground with key constituencies, especially the young, non-white and low-propensity voters who swung decisively in his direction in 2024.
The uptick in support for Trump among those non-traditional Republican voters helped fuel chatter of an enduring "realignment" in the American electorate -- but the durability of that realignment is now coming into doubt with those same groups cooling on Trump.
Surveying the findings of the most recent New York Times-Siena poll, polling analyst Nate Cohn bluntly declared that "the second Trump coalition has unraveled."
Is it time to touch up the obituaries for the Trumpian realignment? To find out, I spoke with conservative pollster and strategist Patrick Ruffini, whose 2024 book "Party of the People" was widely credited with predicting the contours of Trump's electoral realignment.
Ruffini cautioned against prematurely eulogizing the GOP's new coalition, noting that the erosion of support has so far not extended to the constituencies that have served as the primary drivers of the Trumpian realignment -- particularly white working-class voters and working-class Latinos and Asian Americans.
But he also acknowledged that the findings of the recent polls should raise alarms for Republicans ahead of 2026 and especially 2028. ...
