Oil prices surging means Iran's strategy is working.

#80 | Posted by truthhurts at 2026-09-14 09:32 AM | Reply | Flag:

So when the oil prices were declining back to pre-conflict levels before the Yemen front opened, their Hormuz only strategy was not working. Right?

Now, back to the actual live map. Which direction are the dots going? What color are they?

You saying we will carpet bomb civilian infrastructure and housing?

#82 | Posted by truthhurts at 2026-09-14 09:38 AM | Reply | Flag:

That's a gross oversimplification. The Chinese use distillation techniques to train AI models, just like everyone else, but they also build their own from scratch from what they learned.

#9 | Posted by sentinel at 2026-09-13 09:45 PM | Reply | Flag:

You forgot the second "Just like everybody else".

The challenge to making foundational models is funding the data center run. The newest cluster at University of Houston cost $2.5 million and no student can access it without tenured prof approval for a worthwhile project (like a foundational model for facial architecture, navigation, etc). There's more to reasoning models than LLMs.

As for being the "Democrat President that Surrendered to Iran", that's a non-starter obviously and would be worse optics than the Biden run departure from Afghanistan. We'll starve most of Iran to death before that happens.

People really underestimate how much firepower we can bring to bear given the political will.

America doesn't have the political will to actually use its firepower unless pushed to the extreme.

#69 | Posted by truthhurts at 2026-09-13 01:38 PM | Reply | Flag:

"Iran already took the worst we could.."

No, no the ---- they didn't lol.

"Blockade-isn't working"

The Yemen front reopened because the blockade is working and oil flows through Hormuz were going up as Iran's ability to project force into the Strait continued to deteriorate.

60 a day for 5 days. 300+ and climbing.

Keep in mind
the Houthis have essentially defeated the Yemen forces (the regime is in the process of collapse)

#15 | Posted by truthhurts at 2026-09-11 09:50 PM | Reply | Flag:

Houthis partied too soon like the Southern Giants did.

Why wouldn't it apply to US military? Even US poor are richer than most every country.

#26 | Posted by oneironaut at 2026-09-13 12:30 PM | Reply | Flag:

Culture. A dynastic, patronage-based system that prioritizes political loyalty and centralized control over independent professional authority.

Good thing this could never happen in America... imagine if there were Trumpers already calling for a Barron Trump presidency!

Ready for the fun question? When we Dems have power... do we uh.. surrender? or actually try to win?

----.

It's all static. Nobody ever adapts to anything. Especially not during war.

You could even say the Saudis are having a real come to jesus moment on having more and more workarounds to build.

You were assured there would be continual development of workarounds.

Am I the only person that remembers what happened to the Saudi army last time they directly fought the Houthi?

They rolled in with export M1 tanks. The Houthis destroyed them with Russian anti-tank missiles.

What happened to the US base in Jordan?

#12 | Posted by truthhurts at 2026-09-11 09:39 PM | Reply | Flag:

Could it be the Saudi military sucks dog ----?

#15 | Posted by truthhurts at 2026-09-11 09:50 PM | Reply | Flag:

On 12, OSINT consensus last I saw it, 1 A-10 without a wing, 8 damaged F-15. That's a 5% success rate.

On 15, Mike Tyson once explained in an interview why his kids should never, ever box. They grew up rich. No hunger for it, they'll get destroyed. I think that applies here. I've also seen multiple interviews explaining that Saudis are not culturally compatible with Western weapon systems. If your culture does not generate competent Non Commissioned Officers these systems will not work for you.

Drones would quickly make mincemeat of those unfortunate marines

#22 | Posted by pumpkinhead at 2026-09-12 12:49 PM | Reply | Flag:

You underestimate the marines. They're the most successful island conquering force in history, even against massively concentrated, nearly invincible entrenched artillery in an impenetrable mountain. They still won. They have drones too, and drone defenses, and their own aviation wing, and a Navy that's already extensively battled the Houthi. They would steam roll it.

They'd be mincemeat holding it, that's when the drones would matter.

No question the USMC would steamroll Perim Island, but then you have to occupy it indefinitely. Those haven't worked out for us in awhile.

U.S. President Donald Trump said Saturday that Iran-backed Houthis had asked Washington not to intervene and did not want to fight the United States. "They don't want us to go after them," Trump told reporters in Dublin, Ireland

... wut?

Same way they track Ukraine destroying Russian oil complexes.

It was in r/Oil and other subreddits. People sit around watching FIRMS data and immediately spotted the massive fire, with readings that could only be an oil fire.

3 brigades of Saudi mercenaries surrender to the Houthis and march into captivity.

... that's so many people.