Deaths in US Expected to Exceed Births in 2033: CBO

Friday, January 17, 2025

The number of deaths in the U.S. is expected to exceed the number of births by 2033, according to the Congressional Budget Office's (CBO) annual 30-year projection of the U.S. population released on Monday.

Posted by LampLighter at 04:31 PM | 8 COMMENTS | permalink

The CBO forecast sharply lower population growth in the U.S. over the next three decades than it projected one year ago, reflecting lower rates of immigration and fertility.Â Deaths are expected to exceed births in 2033, seven years earlier than projected a year ago www.wsj.com/us-news/u-s- ...

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-- Nick Timiraos (@nicktimiraos.bsky.social) January 14, 2025 at 7:35 PM

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More from the article ...

... The CBO's population estimate for 2025 is 350 million, a slight increase from the 346 million it predicted for 2025 last year. But its projection for 2054 " 372 million people " has decreased since last year, when the CBO projected the population would be 383 million in 2054.

The rate of growth projected over the next three decades " 0.2 percent" is significantly slower than the rate seen in the prior five decades, from 1975 to 2024, when the population grew at 0.9 percent.

The growth rate over the next three decades is also expected to slow. ...

#1 | Posted by LampLighter at 2025-01-16 06:08 PM

@#2 ... What's wrong with you young folks? ...

Neither of us feel interested': More Americans don't want kids, and it's not just because of the money (August 2024)
www.cnbc.com

... Growing up in rural Michigan, Nina Job got familiar with peers and people in her community following a "traditional trajectory." That meant "you go to college, you get married, you have 2.5 kids, you know -- happy home, white picket fence type-thing," she tells CNBC Make It.

But moving to New York gave her a new perspective: "I remember being 20 and so surprised to meet single people much older than what I was used to ever seeing back home who were happy."

The varied domestic situations she encountered "opened my eyes to the possibility of so many different lifestyles, and just non-traditional family setups," the now-36-year-old says.

Now, Job is among the growing number of Americans who are choosing to live a child-free life. The U.S. fertility rate fell to a record low of around 1.6 births per woman in 2023, according to the National Center for Health Statistics. ...