Thursday, May 22, 2025

US bond sell-off is creating a debt spiral

This is to say that if the government continues to spend on credit, and offers no clear path for arresting the growth of its debt, investors will demand ever higher interest rates on the money they lend to it. That could risk locking in a spiral of rising debt costs which ultimately chokes off the economy. It's no wonder the US stock market is floundering, as its own investors question what the country's growth prospects will be amid this kind of impasse.

Comments

More: But the global picture is even more interesting. While the world is now awash in debt, this is not a universal problem. Western governments, fuelled by cheap credit and the huge run-up in pandemic-era debt, account for most of the planet's borrowing. Add the private borrowing of their citizens, and their debts now account for several times their annual output.

While debt crises used to be thought of as a developing-world problem, most major governments there have since got their fiscal houses back in order. As a result, while investors have been demanding higher returns on loans to Western governments, since the start of the year bond yields in India, Nigeria, Brazil and Mexico have all been trending downwards.

It's obvious why. With better growth prospects and more prudent budgeting " not just by governments, but by the private and household sectors too " the countries of the developing world are starting to prove more attractive as long-term prospects for bond investors. If Western politicians continue to wave off the concerns of their lenders, they will continue to receive negative responses that choke off their credit supply. It happened in Britain three years ago; will America be next?

#1 | Posted by qcp at 2025-05-22 01:14 PM

Interested to hear Republicans tell us why this is a good thing.

#2 | Posted by snoofy at 2025-05-22 04:04 PM

Its transitory!
~ Snoofy

#3 | Posted by oneironaut at 2025-05-22 04:50 PM

Doesn't China own the significant portion of our debt in treasury bonds?

At what point would China decide to call-in?

#4 | Posted by redlightrobot at 2025-05-22 05:14 PM

Probably about the same time they make landfall on Taiwan.

#5 | Posted by snoofy at 2025-05-22 05:16 PM

Another trillion dollar tax cut for billionaires will fix this problem.

Right Trumpers?

Or will you morons avoid this thread as well?

#6 | Posted by ClownShack at 2025-05-22 05:31 PM

Its transitory!
~ Snoofy

#3 | Posted by oneironaut

This is what you wanted, s*&^heap. You don't get to be flippant.

#7 | Posted by jpw at 2025-05-22 06:03 PM

Drudge Retort Headlines

Two Israeli Embassy Staff Members Killed in DC (78 comments)

Trump Tax Bill Will Cut Medicare (51 comments)

Are Democrats Fumbling a Golden Opportunity? (46 comments)

Deutsche Bank: U.S. Economy is Experiencing 'death by a thousand cuts' (45 comments)

Second Amendment Foundation Challenges Connecticut's Under-21 Handgun Ban (37 comments)

Trump Confronts South Africa's Leader with False Claims of White Genocide (26 comments)

EU, Britain Add New Russia Sanctions Not Waiting for Trump (21 comments)

Trump Unveils Plans for 'Golden Dome' Defense System (20 comments)

US: Israel Possibly Preparing to Strike Iranian Nuclear Facilities (19 comments)

Musk says will Spend 'a lot less' on Political Campaigns (15 comments)