Cook Political Report Shifts AZ, GA, NV Toward Harris

Thursday, August 08, 2024

The election handicapper Cook Political Report shifted its ratings for Arizona, Georgia and Nevada toward Vice President Harris as she continues to close the polling gap with former President Trump.

Posted by qcp at 10:32 PM | 13 COMMENTS | permalink | Comment on This Entry |

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Let's see where we are one week after the convention. She needs to be up in Michigan and Pennsylvania if she is going to win this with any ease.

#1 | Posted by moder8 at 2024-08-08 11:03 PM | Reply

I saw a poll last week that had her up +10 pts in MI.
PA is still very tight, too tight...

#2 | Posted by earthmuse at 2024-08-09 06:25 AM | Reply

I'd like to see her campaign have rallies in both GA and NC as well
as another in PA.

#3 | Posted by earthmuse at 2024-08-09 06:26 AM | Reply

Still, no matter what happens, it will be a nail biter of an election. In 2016 it looked like Trump was going to lose, until at the last minute James Comey put his legal thumbs on the scale...

#4 | Posted by Hughmass at 2024-08-09 06:42 AM | Reply

EARTHMUSE

I'm waiting to see which state she pulls in the big guns ~~ Obama and Michelle.

The crowd wouldn't stop screaming for 15 minutes.

Or maybe in another state ~ Kamala's good friend BEYONCE' with her signature song "Freedom" playing in the background. Beyonce' said she'd do anything she could to help her friend Kamala.

Neither is out of the range of possibilities.

#5 | Posted by Twinpac at 2024-08-09 06:43 AM | Reply

It will be calibrated, carefully. The Dems are running a serious national campaign. The GOPers? They're waiting for old Norma Desmond down at Mar-a-Lardo to get over the sulks and get to work. Good luck with that.

#6 | Posted by Doc_Sarvis at 2024-08-09 06:48 AM | Reply

Re my #5

Trump wouldn't only be caught flat footed. He'd be hog-tied and branded with another "Big L."

#7 | Posted by Twinpac at 2024-08-09 10:30 AM | Reply

DOC

First Obama's V.P. beat him and now the V.P. of the V.P. of Obama is beating him. That's gotta sting something fierce. No wonder Trump is aging so fast.

And then there's all those "trust me" promises he made to Mr. Putin about his second term. I'd be losing sleep too if I was Trump. Mr. Putin will not take kindly to being left in a lurch.

#8 | Posted by Twinpac at 2024-08-09 10:50 AM | Reply

Next swing state poll will show Trump losing what was a red state

#9 | Posted by Tor at 2024-08-09 02:46 PM | Reply

TOR

When she gets a comfortable lead in a couple swing states, we'll probably see some Republican congress critters start to distance themselves from him, too.

#10 | Posted by Twinpac at 2024-08-09 05:42 PM | Reply

@#10 ... When she gets a comfortable lead in a couple swing states, we'll probably see some Republican congress critters start to distance themselves from him, too. ...

That's similar to what happened with Pres Biden

His dropping popularity was starting to affect down-ballot Democrats.

#11 | Posted by LampLighter at 2024-08-09 06:08 PM | Reply

LAMP

Similar to what happened to Nixon, as well, but for different reasons.

#12 | Posted by Twinpac at 2024-08-10 03:17 AM | Reply

Toss-up + Dobbs Effect = Dems win by 2-5 points.

#13 | Posted by Danforth at 2024-08-10 03:28 AM | Reply