The presidential race has remained tight in the run-up to November's election, and with four months to go, Donald Trump appears to have lost a slight edge, the most recent polling analysis shows.
Though the former president is still narrowly beating his Democratic opponent, President Joe Biden, previous simulations showed him performing slightly better. When the same method was applied on July 3, Trump won 53 times out of 100 simulated elections.
Most polls in the swing states are still wallowing in the margin of error.
That said...
General Election: Trump vs. Biden
www.realclearpolling.com
The graph in the above shows fmr Pres trump's lead leveling off around 3.3%, the highest it has been since January 2024.
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