California's ambitious $20 minimum wage for fast food workers has already led to steep job losses, according to a new economic study. While supporters claim the hike helped workers, data suggests it's pushed many out of work entirely. Key Facts: California raised its minimum wage for fast food workers to $20/hour on April 1, 2024. A study from the National Bureau of Economic Research found the state lost 18,000 fast food jobs"down 3.2% compared to other states. Employment in the same sector rose by about 0.1% nationwide during the same period. The law, AB 1228, gave a state-appointed council power to set fast food wages going forward. Gov. Gavin Newsom's office disputed the findings, citing a UC Berkeley study with different conclusions.
"the state lost 18,000 fast food jobs -down 3.2% compared to other states."
Oh no. Fewer fast food jobs in California. Because that's the sign of a healthy economy. Fast food jobs.
Anyway, here's the other study that is referenced, out of Berzerkeley.
8. Conclusions
In the first nine months of its existence, the California fast-food minimum wage policy has
worked as intended. It has significantly increased the pay of fast-food workers. It has not
had a negative effect on fast-food employment and the number of fast-food restaurants,
and it has generated very modest price increases.
These results would be surprising in the theoretical world of perfectly competitive labor
markets, where employed workers always have the option to move to a comparable job
with another employer and employers can hire all the workers they want at the going
wage. In such a world, increases in the price of labor reduce the demand for labor.
However, as numerous studies have found, real world labor markets are far from
competitive, low-wage labor markets especially so. In real world labor markets, frictions
restrict the mobility of labor and employers must increase pay if they want to hire more
workers.
irle.berkeley.edu
California raised its minimum wage for fast food workers to $20 per hour starting April 1, 2024. According to several studies, this policy has led to significant job losses in the fast food sector, with estimates ranging from about 10,700 to 18,000 fewer jobs within a year, representing roughly a 3% decline relative to other states where fast food employment grew slightly[1][2][3]. The National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) found a 3.2% drop, and other data show reductions in employee hours and a shift towards automation, such as kiosks replacing cashiers, contributing to fewer opportunities for lower-skilled workers[1][2].
Additionally, fast food menu prices increased significantly in California by about 14.5%, nearly double the national average, and many operators cut employee benefits to offset higher labor costs[1]. This wage hike has thus been linked to both fewer available jobs and higher food prices[1].
In contrast, a UC Berkeley study disputes these findings, concluding that the wage increase led to an 18% pay boost for workers but did not cause significant job losses or major price hikes[5][8]. This shows there are conflicting conclusions among studies, though the job loss findings have been supported by multiple research groups including NBER and Pepperdine University.
In summary, while the pay increase raised wages substantially, the predominant evidence suggests it also contributed to notable fast-food job reductions and higher prices in California within the first year of the $20 minimum wage policy[1][2][3]. However, the debate continues with some academic studies finding little to no negative employment effects[5][8].
[1] drudge.com
[2] san.com
[3] www.foxbusiness.com
[4] www.city-journal.org
[5] www.youtube.com
[6] www.usatoday.com
[7] www.yahoo.com
[8] www.usatoday.com
[9] www.kqed.org
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