Trump leads every Swing State, +20 against Harris in betting

Tuesday, October 22, 2024

As we approach 2 weeks from the Election Day, Trump leads the aggregate swing state polling with comfortable leads and has now reached +20 in betting averages across multiple betting sites for President. It begs the question ... Was removing Biden a mistake? Time will tell ...

Posted by Bluewaffles at 12:44 AM | 17 COMMENTS | permalink | Comment on This Entry |

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According to these same wrong betting books, Trump was supposed to run away with it in 2020. Because some rich asshole dumps 18 million betting on Trump please explain how that equals a Trump win.

Betting books are even a worse predictor of future results than polling is.

But you fell for it, hook, line, and sinker.

#1 | Posted by a_monson at 2024-10-22 01:04 AM | Reply

That's cool, now explain the swing state polling.

#2 | Posted by Bluewaffles at 2024-10-22 01:09 AM | Reply

@#2 ... now explain the swing state polling. ...

Simple.

It is called, Margin of Error.

#3 | Posted by LampLighter at 2024-10-22 01:29 AM | Reply

Lamp, you know damn well she isn't hitting the numbers needed to win those states.

#4 | Posted by Bluewaffles at 2024-10-22 01:34 AM | Reply

Biden was +7.5 in National Polling at this time and barely won, she's at +.9 she's toast.

#5 | Posted by Bluewaffles at 2024-10-22 01:36 AM | Reply

@#4 ... you know damn well ...

And your current alias seems to know what I know "damn well" ...

How?

And, of course, that leads me to another question...

What other assumptions has your current alias made based upon a lack of information?

#6 | Posted by LampLighter at 2024-10-22 01:38 AM | Reply

Enjoy the next two weeks Lamp, I know I will ;D

#7 | Posted by Bluewaffles at 2024-10-22 01:43 AM | Reply

" explain the swing state polling"

Dobbs, and the fact it's in every media outlet's interest to ignore that effect as long as possible.

Look for polls striving for accuracy to all move left at the 11th hour.

#8 | Posted by Danforth at 2024-10-22 03:13 AM | Reply

Ohhh A_Monson ... call me the Super Market because I have receipts to your claim about 2020. You morons really need to fact check before spouting BS on the betting market ...

www.realclearpolitics.com

#9 | Posted by Bluewaffles at 2024-10-22 04:05 AM | Reply

Twatwaffle, explain why your prediction of victories for Laxalt, Oz and Walker blew up in your MAGAt face.

#10 | Posted by reinheitsgebot at 2024-10-22 04:06 AM | Reply

Rein, please explain to me how the betting market correctly predicted Biden's victory but somehow the betting market is wrong now.

#11 | Posted by Bluewaffles at 2024-10-22 04:15 AM | Reply

Twatwaffle, explain why Harris is kicking the shit out of the orange rapist in early voting.

#12 | Posted by reinheitsgebot at 2024-10-22 04:17 AM | Reply

Because Democrats do the majority of Early Voting while Republicans tend to vote on Election Day? Are you retarded? That's literally a well known trend.

#13 | Posted by Bluewaffles at 2024-10-22 04:22 AM | Reply

You're the drooling fucktard who predicted Herschel Walker would win his senate race. What happened?

#14 | Posted by reinheitsgebot at 2024-10-22 04:25 AM | Reply

Again Rein, why was the betting market correct in 2020 but wrong now in 2024?

#15 | Posted by Bluewaffles at 2024-10-22 04:31 AM | Reply

Twatwaffle, how would you rate Dr. Oz as a senator?

#16 | Posted by reinheitsgebot at 2024-10-22 04:38 AM | Reply

No clue, he didn't win. Instead the Stroke victim turned into a conservative pro-Israel Democrat who trolls his former progressive friends. Even Fetterman has been sounding the alarm on Trump winning PA and Casey putting out ads saying he agreed with Trump in his commercials. Harris is fucking toast dude.

#17 | Posted by Bluewaffles at 2024-10-22 04:43 AM | Reply