The Economist has calculated that if the Russian offensive continues at its current pace, Russia would need until June 2030 to completely occupy Ukraine's Luhansk, Donetsk, Kherson, and Zaporizhzhia oblasts, and it would take another 103 years to capture the whole of Ukraine. Since May 2025, Russia has captured only 0.4% of Ukrainian territory and has not achieved any serious objectives. The Economist said Russia is paying a huge price for minimal gains on the battlefield. "Our meta-estimate suggests that, from the beginning of the full-scale invasion to January of this year, Russian casualties amounted to 640,000 to 877,000 soldiers, of whom 137,000 to 228,000 have died. By 13 Oct, those totals had risen by almost 60%, to 984,000 to 1,438,000 casualties, including 190,000 to 480,000 dead.