That seems to echo what Danforth has been mentioning for weeks now, regarding the enthusiasm for ~annoyed~ (I think he said, pissed-off) women to vote."
Exactly.
Look at every, and I mean EVERY election since Dobbs. Polls have been freakishly off.
KS abortion rights: polls were 47-46; results more like 60-37.
OH, just to rights ON the ballot needed a 60% supermajority. The highest poll I saw was barely over half; it got 62%.
The AL House race where a DEM won, beating the polls, after running on ONE issue.
And most recently, OH06, a +29 Trump district, which the (R) won ... but only by 9 points.
NONE of the polls were accurate.
Want some semblance of accuracy? Add 3-5 points to the Dems numbers, especially in the 10 states with women's rights on the ballot.
Never underestimate P.O.'d women!
#6 | POSTED BY DANFORTH
Yeah that he "no convention bounce" is utter --------, coming from the manipulated polling companies and corporate horserace media.
Great post. But your 3-5 points is likely closer to 5-10 points IMHO.
Its going to be over early for Orange Adolf on election night too once Harris wins NC then Florida.