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Thursday, August 20, 2026

Thomas L. Friedman: If I were writing a book about the U.S. war with Iran, I know exactly what the title would be. It would be President Trump's social media post of April 5, 2026, directed at the leaders of Iran: "Open the [expletive] Strait, you crazy bastards, or you'll be living in Hell " JUST WATCH!"

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Today, small countries can be more powerful than superpowers. The New Physics of Power www.nytimes.com/2026/08/18/o ...

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-- Bob Heffernan (@rvh55vt.bsky.social) 1:02 PM · Aug 19, 2026

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Friedman. Ores: "These new weapons amplify another advantage the small have over the big: They don't have to win. They just have to avoid losing. We have to win, end the war, go home and never look back. Good luck with that now."

What is truly alarming today is how easy it is becoming for the small to act big " and by "small," I don't just mean in size, but also in age. A teenager with a laptop, a Starlink connection and an open-weight A.I. model can now disrupt a municipal water or power system by identifying and exploiting old software vulnerabilities.

So don't be surprised if one day soon you hear your mayor sounding like Trump: "Turn my water back on, you crazy ... "

#1 | Posted by Doc_Sarvis at 2026-08-19 07:04 AM | Reply

This argument was made during one of the Hezbollah vs Iran conflicts. Hezbollah only had to survive to win, and they did survive.

Lets check in on Southern Lebanon and see how it's going in 2026.

#2 | Posted by sitzkrieg at 2026-08-19 07:37 AM | Reply

Hezbollah vs Israel. The one where Hezbollah entrenched themselves and took on the Merkava 4s with a bunch of anti-tank missiles.

#3 | Posted by sitzkrieg at 2026-08-19 07:39 AM | Reply

DJT is now just claiming the win.... posting a pic of the Straits circled as, 'US Territory'.

He grew a Norman Vincent Peale fanatic, and is still trying to speak any and everything he wants into existence.

#4 | Posted by Corky at 2026-08-19 11:31 AM | Reply

I am so glad we have finally won the Excursion and that Iran has completely surrendered to our awesome and overwhelming but bigly beautiful powers. Again.

So who will we elect as governor of this new U.S. territory? I hear Rubio could use another job title. He is only doing two jobs currently and can easily do at least one more.

#5 | Posted by donnerboy at 2026-08-19 12:03 PM | Reply

I assume of course that they don't get to vote. Because they are very brown and we couldn't have that. Not in Trumpy's Managed Democracy. Trumpy gets to decide who gets to vote in his world.

#6 | Posted by donnerboy at 2026-08-19 12:06 PM | Reply

Lets check in on Southern Lebanon and see how it's going in 2026.
#2 | Posted by sitzkrieg

It's giving Poland, September 1, 1939 vibes.

#7 | Posted by snoofy at 2026-08-19 12:27 PM | Reply

#5 | POSTED BY DONNERBOY

You have no idea what the topic is do you?


The net advantage, for the moment, seems to be to the small. That should keep you up at night, when you think how the emerging revolution in artificial intelligence will surely supercharge this trend, enabling the small to act even bigger, mightier and less expensively.

Decentralism was coined in the 1820s, because government was too big, and to expensive.

Its also why communism and socialism fail, systems reach a certain level of hierarchy and it loses its ability to change, or meet the needs of its customers.

Also why China opened up and adopted more capitalistic policies, it realized a monolithic hierarchy fails, unlike Lumpers here who seem to think the only way to do something is through the government.

You can't argue there's a "new power", and then want more monolithic social/government systems. You'd be a moron.

Liberals in the 70s80s used to want decentralization, grow your own food, buy locally. All that is out the window with you Lumpers, you prove it every day.

#8 | Posted by oneironaut at 2026-08-19 12:45 PM | Reply | Funny: 1


It's giving Poland, September 1, 1939 vibes.
#7 | POSTED BY SNOOFY

When the Soviets were in Eastern Poland? What are you talking about?

Perhaps you mean 1941, when the first holocaust camp opened, if you're going to use a poor analogy at least get it right.

#9 | Posted by oneironaut at 2026-08-19 12:48 PM | Reply | Funny: 1

5 | POSTED BY DONNERBOY

You have no idea what the topic is do you?

I was responding to Corky. Are you taking over Gracie's Hall Monitor jerb?

Trumpy was right! You dang drug running rapists (and I assume some good) aliens is taking our jerbs!

#10 | Posted by donnerboy at 2026-08-19 01:24 PM | Reply

Don't be a bully or you'll be pushed to the sidelines?

#11 | Posted by fresno500 at 2026-08-20 07:13 AM | Reply

I mourn this war, it seems to showcase bravado and boys with big missiles over the need to work toward a dream of a peaceful, united planet were the rule of law is prime.
We are the war criminals here, we are the murderers who tricked the Iranians into meeting so that we and our 51st state, the nuclear powered Israel, could kill them. If that is fair for us, that kind of sneak attack on their leaders...

#12 | Posted by Hughmass at 2026-08-21 06:38 AM | Reply

Its also why communism and socialism fail, systems reach a certain level of hierarchy and it loses its ability to change, or meet the needs of its customers.

Also why China opened up and adopted more capitalistic policies, it realized a monolithic hierarchy fails, unlike Lumpers here who seem to think the only way to do something is through the government.

You can't argue there's a "new power", and then want more monolithic social/government systems. You'd be a moron.

Liberals in the 70s80s used to want decentralization, grow your own food, buy locally. All that is out the window with you Lumpers, you prove it every day.

#8 | Posted by oneironaut

You're here arguing against authoritarian control and then citing the most authoritarian economy as an example of success and you're too dumb to even see it.

If our government could order our industries to do their bidding like china does we'd be a lot more competitive.

Also, Maybe you have enough time to grow your own food because you're a loser, but most of us have other jobs.

#13 | Posted by SpeakSoftly at 2026-08-21 05:01 PM | Reply

forever status quo. Hard pass

#14 | Posted by fresno500 at 2026-08-21 08:40 PM | Reply

__________
#13 | Posted by SpeakSoftly at 2026-08-21 05:01 PM
If our government could order our industries to do their bidding like china does we'd be a lot more competitive.

LOL. No, we wouldn't - it's called "industrial policy" and it usually ends poorly for the industries involved and the economy in general due to mistaken notion that "government knows best" and results in misallocation of capital (and labor) and uncompetitively mispriced goods.

For example, right now, the buildout of datacenters resulted in lack of labor to build housing... Trump's immigration policy doesn't help.

"Industrial policy" of Japan in the 1980s and 1990s lead to several "lost decades" and loss of competitiveness in many other sectors. Same is actually happening with China and Germany.

We've had several experiments with the "industrial policy" and protectionism - in steel, cars, yachts, "renewable energy" etc. - most recently with Trump and Biden administrations trying to "re-shore / on-shore" manufacturing in places and sectors where there was either no real organic demand or it was not price-competitive and was cheaper to buy elsewhere... IOW, money down the drain once the government "program" was over.

We're plenty competitive in the global market, including "manufacturing", in the services companies choose to provide and the goods companies choose to make, based on the input costs, TCO, potential market size and available expertise - cost or quality is what makes companies competitive, not government edicts.

Most of the problems are that the governments (federal, state and local) increase input cost via several mechanisms - "minimum wage", taxation, regulations, mandates, resources misallocation (e.g., energy / electricity) etc.


Also, Maybe you have enough time to grow your own food because you're a loser, but most of us have other jobs.

You've just described what David Ricardo called "comparative advantage" - it's cheaper and less burdensome to buy the goods with a fraction of what you can earn elsewhere - that's why "industrial policies" don't work in the long run.

But that would be exactly the kind of "industrial policy" that government could demand - e.g., supplying a certain percent of "local", "farm to table" or "organic" food or non-caged chicken eggs, etc. - that would raise costs and made products less competitive vs other states or countries.

Competitiveness is about price - and governments' "industrial policies" inevitably raise costs and "price goods and services out of the market" - especially when the "market" is increasingly global and technology can make it cheaper somewhere else.
__________

#15 | Posted by CutiePie at 2026-08-23 11:32 PM | Reply

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