Sunday, September 22, 2024

Harris Has Biggest Favorability Jump Since George W. Bush after 9/11

Vice President Kamala Harris got some very welcome news on Sunday in the form of a new NBC News poll that found her leading Donald Trump by five points nationally. But perhaps the most significant finding in the survey of 1,000 likely voters conducted from Sept. 13-17 is her massive increase in popularity since taking over for Joe Biden as the Democratic presidential nominee in July.

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As NBC News' national political correspondent"and data geek"Steve Kornacki and Meet the Press host Kristen Welker explained on Sunday, that 16-point turnaround is the largest favorability increase for any politician NBC has measured since George W. Bush after the Sept. 11, 2001, attacks.

And she didn't even have to lose the twin towers to get that bounce. How about that.

#1 | Posted by reinheitsgebot at 2024-09-22 02:41 PM

Thomas Miller is a widely respected data scientist from Northwestern University. Miller developed a model that uses data from political betting sites rather than polls.

Could there be a Kamala Harris landslide in November? The data scientist who correctly called the last election is betting yes

"Miller's view merits close attention for two basic reasons: First, it's based on numbers-crunching that's arguably a lot more scientific than the voter surveys almost always cited to chart the contest's trajectory, and second, he achieved pinpoint accuracy four years ago." - Fortune

"It's gone from a drastic landslide in Trump's direction to a drastic landslide for Harris," said Miller. He said it would now take an equally dramatic shift in Trump's favor for the ex-president to come back into contention. Miller said as things stood now it appeared as if Harris would win big on November 5. - Benzinga

#2 | Posted by AMERICANUNITY at 2024-09-22 03:09 PM

See, no worries, as harris has it in the bag ; )

#3 | Posted by MSgt at 2024-09-22 04:10 PM

"See, no worries, as harris has it in the bag ; )"

MSGT says with tongue in cheek.

Harris is steadily gaining ground . . . which is better than Trump steadily losing ground.

However, we're still looking forward to that October Suprise Trump has up his sleeve. Why don't you clue us in as to what you think we can expect. One of Trump's dog whistles will do if you don't know the particulars.

#4 | Posted by Twinpac at 2024-09-22 05:25 PM

Trump and his brownshirts desperately tried to steal democracy from us in 2020, who knows what they'll do in 2024. It's a disgrace to our country that he's not in prison for treason

#5 | Posted by hamburglar at 2024-09-22 05:50 PM

Why don't you clue us in as to what you think we can expect.

Lewzer's buddy Little Rocket Man hasn't done anything unusually stupid for a while...

#6 | Posted by REDIAL at 2024-09-22 06:04 PM

Steve Kornacki
@SteveKornacki

Men: Trump 52-40%
Women: Harris 58-37%

White: Trump 52-43%
Black: Harris 85-7%
Hispanic: Harris 54-35%

White, College+: 59-38% Harris
White, no degree: 61-33% Trump
9:02 AM Sep 22, 2024

#7 | Posted by Gal_Tuesday at 2024-09-22 06:31 PM

HAMBURGLER

In 2020 Trump learn what didn't work. So he won't try that again.

But desperation is pulling his chain from a number of different directions, including Russia, so he'll have to come up with something that works . . . maybe even a double murder . . . to keep himself out of the jams he's in.

With enough money I guess he could find somebody to do anything.

#8 | Posted by Twinpac at 2024-09-22 06:38 PM

Many pundits have pointed this out already. Trump is well-defined. His level of support is pretty much calcified.

Kamala took advantage of the opportunity to define herself. I think it's been far beyond what anyone predicted.

Cue the 'Jaws' theme. Trump hears it playing while he sweats out losing for the second time. This time to a black woman.

#9 | Posted by zarnon at 2024-09-22 09:28 PM

Reek is going to get trucked.

#10 | Posted by reinheitsgebot at 2024-09-22 09:30 PM

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