Thursday, October 17, 2024

Poll: Trump Loses More Ground

In the presidential contest, Vice President Kamala Harris leads former President Donald Trump by five points among likely voters, including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate. The race gets closer, however, among registered voters nationally. Here, three points separate the two candidates.

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Comments

We can just beat trump at the box (vote early, in person volunteer to canvas including by phone and talk friends into voting for harris)

#1 | Posted by Tor at 2024-10-16 01:58 PM

...we also need to be sure trump supporters understand on every level he really did loose the election and they need to go back to having a trump free life.

#2 | Posted by Tor at 2024-10-16 01:59 PM

...we also need to be sure trump supporters understand on every level he really did loose the election and they need to go back to having a trump free life.

#3 | Posted by Tor at 2024-10-16 01:59 PM

The public polls are pure trash and even the liberals know that. They are meant to FORM public opinion rather than simply report on it. Internal polls show Kamala sinking quickly which is why she is on her disastrous press tour now and why the bettings odds have her getting crushed (betting odds are smart money from poll insiders).

It should become standard practice for all polls to be forced to state their error from their prior projection to actual results as a disclaimer on all their publications.

For instance, on this article, Marist would be forced to state *2020 error was D+5*

Similarly, garbage polls like Quinnipiac would need to state *2020 error was D+9*

With this actual discloser, they could no longer form opinion as their polls would be rightly rejected due to highly biased nature of their polling methodology.

Finally, in applying their error from 2020, we would then logically conclude that the true numbers are more like a tie at the national level which means Trump wins the EC easily. Dems need to win popular vote by 3-4% to win the EC.

#4 | Posted by deadman at 2024-10-16 10:09 PM

#4 | Posted by: deadman | Flag: Serious level

#5 | Posted by Hans at 2024-10-16 10:10 PM

It's good that Harris leading in the popular vote but, as we all know, that isn't always enough. Where does she stand in the electoral vote?

#6 | Posted by Twinpac at 2024-10-17 04:44 PM

The only ground that matters are the swing states.

And republicans got that covered.

#7 | Posted by ClownShack at 2024-10-17 04:47 PM

"The only ground that matters are the swing states. And republicans got that covered." -

#7 | Posted by ClownShack

I call BS:

Close fight in the trenches: A look at the ground game in the presidential race: POLL

#8 | Posted by Hans at 2024-10-17 05:13 PM

How nuch would Democrats need to win by to remove the most corrupt members of the Supreme Court?

#9 | Posted by danni at 2024-10-17 05:58 PM

Good. Burn in hell Trump. Lose and go away.

#10 | Posted by Alexandrite at 2024-10-17 06:04 PM

FACT: Once the winner has 3% or more of the total popular vote, it is mathematically impossible for the loser to get 270 (or more) Electoral Votes.

#11 | Posted by Hans at 2024-10-17 06:37 PM

It looks like you screwed this thread up trying to be cute.

#12 | Posted by homerj at 2024-10-17 07:16 PM

I vote yes to ban Hans.

#13 | Posted by sentinel at 2024-10-17 07:22 PM

Thanks for the update Hans, lol. Rogers, something wrong on your end? Lol

#14 | Posted by dibblda at 2024-10-17 07:25 PM

You're most welcome! :-)

#15 | Posted by Hans at 2024-10-17 07:30 PM

Uh Oh.........

Somteng Wong at the Drudge Retort.

#16 | Posted by Just_Joe at 2024-10-17 07:35 PM

Wow, Hans is annoying as ----.

#17 | Posted by Bluewaffles at 2024-10-17 08:13 PM

"Wow, Hans is annoying as ----.
#1037 | Posted by Bluewaffles"

Do you honestly think something went wrong on the server side to repost 1000+ times by Hans or was he sitting in his basement continuously hitting the publish comment button with ever growing incel rage until it finally posted 1000+ times? My bet is that someone's mom didn't bring the pizza rolls in time and Hans was rage hitting submit while likely screaming the n-word at the top of his lungs. Thankfully, he likely resides in a windowless basement so no one was exposed to his racial abuse.

#18 | Posted by deadman at 2024-10-17 08:23 PM

FACT: Once the winner has a 3% or more advantage in the total popular vote (over the loser's total popular vote total), it is mathematically impossible for the loser to get 270 (or more) Electoral Votes.
#1-1031 !!!!! | Posted by Hans

I might be misunderstanding, but I don't think that's correct Hans.

For instance, if 20 million people vote in Florida for Kamala, and only one person votes in each of the remaining states + DC for Trump, Kamala would have close to 100% of the popular vote. But Trump would still become president (508 electoral votes to 30) even though he only received slightly above 0% of the popular vote.

#19 | Posted by censored at 2024-10-17 08:51 PM

#19 | Posted by censored at 2024-10-17 08:51 PM | Reply | Flag: Interesting understanding

#20 | Posted by Hans at 2024-10-17 08:53 PM

#18 | Posted by: deadman | Flag: Serious level

#21 | Posted by Hans at 2024-10-17 08:54 PM

#18 | Posted by: deadman | Flag: Serious level

Interestingly enough, this is post #18.

"Any significantly advanced technology is indistinguishable from magic."

#22 | Posted by Hans at 2024-10-17 08:58 PM

"I might be misunderstanding, but I don't think that's correct Hans.
#19 | Posted by censored"

That is classic Hans. Yes, he is totally wrong as usual - but boy is he confident in his wrongness.

#23 | Posted by deadman at 2024-10-17 09:02 PM

First there was...

Do you honestly think something went wrong on the server side to repost 1000+ times by Hans or was he sitting in his basement continuously hitting the publish comment button with ever growing incel rage until it finally posted 1000+ times? My bet is that someone's mom didn't bring the pizza rolls in time and Hans was rage hitting submit while likely screaming the n-word at the top of his lungs. Thankfully, he likely resides in a windowless basement so no one was exposed to his racial abuse.

#18 | Posted by deadman at 2024-10-17 08:23 PM

... and then ...
#18 | Posted by: deadman | Flag: Serious level

Interestingly enough, this is post #18.

"Any significantly advanced technology is indistinguishable from magic."

#22 | Posted by Hans at 2024-10-17 08:58 PM

This is amazingly easy.

#24 | Posted by Hans at 2024-10-17 09:17 PM

"That is classic Hans."

#23 | Posted by deadman

Says the guy here a total of 7 days.

Which is exactly why deadman has earned his own, personal Serious level

#25 | Posted by Hans at 2024-10-17 09:20 PM

Drudge Retort Headlines

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Trump's Campaign Goes Off the Rails with 3 Weeks to Go (35 comments)

Billionaires Invest Staggering Sums Into Electing Trump (28 comments)

Poll: Trump Loses More Ground (25 comments)