Several things Blue Balls and Clown are missing:

1. VOLUNTEERISM - There is a wave of 170,000+ volunteers who have signed up in the last week and are out making calls, writing postcards and knocking doors. That's just the initial number. Reportedly people are showing up to campaign offices all over the country, grabbing a clipboard and making phone calls. Wisconsin has been setting up offices all over the state since January. There is NO word of ANY ground game for the GQP. Dotard has never mounted a ground game in either of his previous campaigns because they are expensive and you have to trust people to make financial decisions at the local level, which we know Dotard is incapable of. Thanks to Donnie Dementia, the GQP has no money, because Donnie and his crotch fruit's tone deaf wife have raided the coffers, so there is no money for down ballot races.

2. ENTHUSIASM - According to a poll I saw today, before POTUS dropped out, the GQP led in enthusiasm by 18, now the Dems lead by six, that's a massive turnaround in a week, led by black voters and youth voters, the two most important segments of the Biden coalition.

3. POLLING SUCKS - The pollsters have been unable to effectively track young voters. Now that Harris has at least a 20 point lead among that group, I expect any poll that shows them tied is really Harris up by about 4-5 thanks to the new found enthusiasm among Gen-Z.

4. THE DOBBS EFFECT - VPOTUS makes the case for women's reproductive rights better than did POTUS. Women are still pissed about Dobbs and will continue to vote that way.

5. THE DNC - It will continue the Harris honeymoon, and I expect a three to five point bump from it. She will trot out Hillary, Bernie, Bill, Michelle, and Barack who will give an amazing stemwinder on the second to last night, whipping up the base as inly he can. Then she will make the case for the prosecutor over the convicted felon/adjudicated rapist as only she can. She will also get a bump from choosing a highly qualified VP candidate, I suspect either Roy Cooper putting NC in play, or Mark Kelly giving her Arizona.

6. CURRENT DOTARD-VPOTUS POLLING IS STILL THIN AND PROVIDES NO TREND LINES - But remember it comes with his tiny bump from the RNC and and from getting hit by a flying piece of plastic. However her likebility numbers since she became the presumptive nominee are through the roof, about fifteen points better than Dotard's.

7. DIAPER DONNIE IS THE MOST DISLIKED POLITICIAN IN THE COUNTRY - VPOTUS is attractive, well spoken, joyful, and really likable. Dotard is a lazy, fat old liar who is a convicted felon and a adjudicated rapist. The more people see VPOTUS the more they will like her, Donnie's trending in the opposite direction.

8. THE AGE AND INFIRMITY QUESTION - It was laid at POTUS' feet, now he's kicked it over to Dotard. The media is suddenly paying attention to what Dotard is saying whether it's his multiple glitches per Klan rally, or his saying the quiet part out loud, as in illegally ending Birthright Citizenship and having "fixed" the election system by 2028 so Christians NEVER HAVE TO VOTE AGAIN.

9. DEMS HAVE A FAR DEEPER BENCH OF SURROGATES - Thanks to MAGA, Dotard is the only person the GQP can roll out that can draw a bigger crowd than the line at Starbucks. Dems have Newsom, Whitmer, Shapiro, Cooper, Beshear, Pete, Michelle, Barack, Bill, and so on, all significant draws on their own. They are all great on TV, Pete is especially great on Faux Spews.

The Dems have only begun to fight. We have three months, and I firmly believe we will see the first female POTUS sworn in in January.

RCP includes a lot of crap GQP leaning polls into their average, which tends to skew them. I haven't watched RCP since 2016. Again, nobody has figured a way to effectively sample a group that does not answer calls from unknown phone numbers and prefers to interact via text or other app. The pollsters tend to overvalue the few right leaning Gen-Z people they actually talk to. Hence the red wave we were guaranteed that was easily mopped up with a panty liner.

This race is too knew for there to be any accurate polling, especially trendline polling. However, rustbelt popularity polls look like Kamala is winning in MI and MN, and is ahead in popularity in WI and PA. We will see how that changes after the DNC which should be epic.

Blue Balls, you can try to use old polling to predict a new race, you might as well be using 2016 polling and Sharpie in Kamala's name over HRC's name. But that would leave out how incredibly unpopular Dotard is, and has been since he first stole 2016 with the help of Russia and James Comey. Dems have not been this excited to vote for a candidate since 2008. All the momentum is with Harris, and will be for the next month. And that doesn't even touch Dobbs, which will hang around Dotard's neck like an electoral anchor, especially since Harris makes the case for reproductive rights better than did POTUS.

Never said it was a cakewalk, all I'm saying is that you are underestimating a bunch of things. I believe David Hogg when he talks about the NEW ENTHUSIASM among young voters, his finger is on the pulse. All of these calls breaking Zoom and raising millions for the Harris campaign are not the DNC, this is enthusiasm, something Dems haven't had since 2008, this is HOPE! Yes there is work to do, and that's why the volunteerism is so important, not just to make the calls and educate voters, but to ask for their votes, make sure they are (still) registered and make sure they have a plan to get to the polls. Once you've identified a possible voter the key is to keep checking back. Women voting on Dobbs are directly responsible for Dems completely overperforming polling and polling history in pretty much every race since Dobbs, it will continue. And according to what I've read, given that polling sucks, Harris has pulled ahead with Independents.

Well the new swing state polling has VPOTUS up 10 in MI (which is what the approval poll showed over the weekend as well), so that's now out of reach for Dotard along with MN. Not a surprise as 5hey love Big Gretch in that state and Detroit was a safe bet to show out for Kamala. She's up two in WI, NV, and AZ, he's up 4 in NC, 2 in PA and they are tied in GA. Kamala has all the momentum; she spoke to a packed house of over 10k in ATL today and was electric. She has all the youthful enthusiasm and the energy to go hard for the next 98 days, while the sad, fat old pedophile sat at home in his bathrobe feeling sorry for himself, writing nasty posts on his third rate Threads knockoff that nobody reads and probably eating KFC. Lots of work to do, but I like the way its trending heading into the DNC in Chicago, which should draw massive audiences wanting to learn more about Kamala. I predict she will rebuild the blue wall through the rust belt before the end of August, and put AZ, GA, and NV in the books by the end of September. She might even spend some of her massive warchest playing in FL since abortion is on the ballot trying to defeat Rick Medicare Fraudster Scott.