@#17 ... What pollster has a methodology that changes womens' actual responses to line them up with a previous election? ...
In my knowledge, none.
OK, let me take a step back and explain what does happen (based upon a good part of my career being in market research).
A pollster starts out the universe of people (e.g., "registered voters" or "likely voters").
The universe is large, so a sample of that universe is needed. You could say something like ~let's sample every 100 people~ but how do you know the demographics that would result from that type of sample would represent the "likely voters" that you want to survey.
So the pollsters set up a "sampling frame" that outlines the nature of the sample they want.
The sampling frame may specify something like... size of the sample frame (i.e., number of people to be polled), percentages from each of age groups, the balance of education, sex (or gender) percentages, political leanings, etc.
Then a polling sample is gathered that meets the defined frame, and that sample is polled.
The sampling frame may be one reason why Rassmussen Reports seems to trend towards the right in their results, their sampling frame have more right-leaning people.
The question to ask with the 2024 polling is: have the sampling frames been adjusted to accommodate the "p-o'd" women, or have they remained the same as the 2020 election?
My guess is along the lines of.. when the polls start listing "likely voters" as the sample universe, the pollsters may have taken the 2022 results into account and used the abortion wins and large voter turnouts to adjust the frame criteria used this year.
But that is just a guess on my part.
