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- - - The party has its lowest favorability ever.
- - - No popular national leader to help improve it.
- - - Insufficient numbers to stop most legislation in Congress.
- - - A durable minority on the Supreme Court.
- - - Dwindling influence over the media ecosystem, with right-leaning podcasters and social media accounts ascendant.
- - - Young voters are growing dramatically more conservative.
- - - A bad 2026 map for Senate races.
- - - Democratic Senate retirements could make it harder for the party to flip the House, with members tempted by statewide races.
- - - There are only three House Republicans in districts former Vice President Harris won in 2024, a dim sign for a Democratic surge. There were 23 eight years ago in seats Hillary Clinton won.
- - - And, thanks to the number of people fleeing blue states, the math for a Dem to win the presidency will just get harder in 2030.
Why it matters: Both parties " after losing the White House, Senate and House " suffer and search for salvation. But rarely does healing seem so hard and redemption so distant.
- - - Doug Sosnik -- a senior adviser to President Bill Clinton, and widely followed thinker on political megatrends -- told us this is Dems' deepest hole in at least the 45 years since Ronald Reagan's victory in 1980. Sosnik said the 2024 election was at least as much a repudiation of Democrats as it was a victory for Trump.
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