I predicted this in the middle of Covid, since we had just come off the opioid crisis, which killed fewer, but younger on average.

"Expect headlines touting surprising gains in longevity" was my prediction.

Straight from macro statistics class.

" I'd like to see a competent argument that shows this is not complete bull manure."

We're coming out of not one, but two historic events. First, opioids took out a lot of folks, at a relatively young age. That made the overall longevity averages drop. The next historical blip was Covid: older folks, in general, but many more, particularly those closer to passing anyway, due to age or poor health.

Take those folks out, and voila! All of a sudden, longevity predictions spike.

It's macro math, nothing more.

Close

" And you would have been wrong, just look at the graph in the article."

Nothing in the graph you posted disproves my claim.

" Young aren't drinkin as much..."

DUIs have dropped in states with legalized recreational marijuana. Go figure.