With about 77 hours left before the first election polls close (Tuesday, November 5, 2024, 7:00pm Eastern Time), what do you think will happen that night? If you didn't take our reader survey yesterday, please do it today. We would like to get a good idea of who our 65,000+ readers are and also see if they can call the swing states and Senate elections better than the pollsters. We will try to post the results Tuesday, so you need to "vote" today. As usual, thanks for stopping by and do tell your friends about the site.
We already have some predictions.
First prediction:
My prediction.
Trump will win the popular vote, Kamala will win the Electoral Vote.
That will really spice things up.
#78 | Posted by oneironaut at 2024-10-24 06:30 PM
Second prediction:
Agreed
Trumpy wins popular vote, Harris will win the Election.
#21 | Posted by oneironaut at 2024-10-26 02:15 PM
Third prediction:
Bill was over +5 going in too.
Only 1 will be right. Stock market or EC predictor, Harris isn't breaking +5 and it's trending the other way.
#90 | Posted by sitzkrieg at 2024-10-20 07:07 AM
Fourth prediction (actually, more a hope):
I hope it drags on for months.
Watching you ---- your pants every single day over every news item related to it is going to be more fun than I can imagine.
you are guaranteed to provide and equal amount of entertainment for me as Boaz will, Boazboy.
#51 | Posted by eberly at 2024-11-02 01:28 PM
Fifth prediction:
Kamala's support is much higher than the polls indicate.
#14 | Posted by visitor_ at 2024-10-24 07:33 PM
Sixth prediction:
nov 5
DJT declared potus by 11 EST
#38 | Posted by shrimptacodan at 2024-10-13 09:49 PM
And, now, my prediction (as I submitted in the reader survey):
Like the elections in 1972, 1976, 1980, 1984, 1988, 1992, 1996, 2004, 2008, 2012, and 2016, the results of the election will be known by 11:00pm Eastern Time. - Hans
A new entry:
My prediction?About 77 hours left: What's your prediction?
A -------- of dramaqueens are going to volunteer to make asses out of themselves on the internet.
that's my prediction.
#7 | Posted by eberly at 2024-11-02 03:49 PM
A new addition:
Just three days until Harris wipes the floors with the traitor. Will be a LANDSLIDE ... TONS of real republicans are voting for her, DEM enthusiasm is off the charts, higher than 2008. His rallies lately have been scattered, sometimes 1/3 empty. Also, she has so many endorsements while he has few very small endowments. The writing has been on the wall for three months and no woman, no real woman, will vote for a rapist nor a man who took their rights away. They will not vote for a man who has zero empathy. A man who lies with every breath. A man who is trying to destroy the USA from within. It's easy math here. How the toxic masculinity bros even think sir Cheeto has a chance is beyond me, but I am educated and my specialty is MATH. Three days to the massive blue tsunami.
#12 | Posted by NOTGOINGBACK at 2024-11-02 05:45 PM
#18 | Posted by Corky at 2024-11-02 05:58 PM | Reply | Flag: Amazingly Newsworthy
Thank you for posting that, Corky.
According to articles I have read, something like 40% of voters have already cast their ballots. Shouldn't we have some idea of what these results look like? Is there something that keeps the early results from being released.
#33 | Posted by madbomber
The rules vary on processing and counting early ballots:
When states can begin processing and counting absentee/mail-in ballots, 2024
ballotpedia.org
But you can see some numbers here breaking down early votes by state, party, and sex: www.nbcnews.com
Sex is a huge factor since females lead substantially in early voting in most swing states (~10% difference) and Harris leads 7-10% with females.
"Is there something that keeps the early results from being released."
#33 | Posted by madbomber
Yeah, there is.
It is called state legislative mandate (or, state law).
Why do stupid people actually demonstrate just how stupid they really are?
(Rhetorical question, no answer expected.)
"Seen on the interwebs:
Kamala Harris: "I got Donald to work at McDonald's."ROFLMBAO!!!! -
Joe Biden: "I got him to dress up as a garbage man."
Stormy Daniels: "I got him to pick up a mic, and ... "
#37 | Posted by TonyRoma at 2024-11-03 10:26 AM | Reply | Flag: One of the funniest things I read about this past week!!!
Bravo, TonyRoma!
You win the interwebs award for the week!
A new entry:
This election is not going to be as close as the horserace the capitalist media want.
At this point I'll be surprised if we don't know Kamala will be the next president by the end of Tuesday night.
#1 | Posted by DarkVader at 2024-11-03 10:29 AM
Please be sure to add your voice to this voter survey.
It would be great to have the denizens of the Retort's opinions added.*
* Except, of course, those who have me plonked here on the Retort.
Too bad their voices won't be registered because, well, they have willingly shoved their heads into the sand and can't see this!
C'est la vie
Another entry:
IF, and it is an enormous IF, Harris is leading Trump in Iowa then this election is going to be an absolute blow-out. Almost Reaganesque.
#31 | Posted by moder8 at 2024-11-02 09:48 PM
UPDATE: If Kamala Harris has, by 11:00pm Eastern Time on Tuesday, enough states in her column equal to (or exceeding) 216 Electoral Votes, that's it.
Every single MAGAt will then be: "Game over, man. GAME OVER!"
Another addition:
"If you thought that was funny, just wait till tomorrow night/Wednesday morning..... It's gonna be lit."
#6 | Posted by lfthndthrds at 2024-11-04 08:29 AM
"Trump if the election honest."
#76 | Posted by Msgt
Harris if the election honest.
Only people speaking the language of known conflict have now become the entire housing military.
REPOST:
For eberly (and others), who asked about my 3% of popular vote to win the Electoral College statement*:
Could Harris Lose the Popular Vote and Still Win the Electoral College?* I emailed the editors of the site last week, and they posted this article today.
It has been an article of faith among political operatives for years that a Democrat needs to win the popular vote by about 3 points to win the Electoral College, which tilts toward the Republicans due to the disproportionate effect of there being more medium-sized red states than there are medium-sized blue states.
Hillary Clinton won the popular vote by 2.1%, but fell short in the Electoral College. But this year, there are signs that things could be different. Is it possible that Kamala Harris could win the popular vote by a very small margin, or even lose it, and still get at least 270 electoral votes? Maybe.
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