She knows what she's doing because she's been successful in every one of her election campaigns.

[W]hile Ms. Harris has raised more than $1 billion for her presidential bid, which has afforded her a formidable war chest, campaign officials say she has made a point to continue making stops at barber shops, music stores and bookshops.

But in a fast-paced national campaign, Ms. Harris has been better known this time around for her big, high-profile rallies. After most rallies, she goes and walks a rope line, often beelining for young children. After town-hall events, she has gone over to voters who asked her a tough question to talk face to face.

"She has been clear that she needs to look people in the eye, and not just talk about the stakes but talk about aspirations, in their own space," said Michael Tyler, the communications director for Ms. Harris's campaign. "It's part and parcel for how she's campaigned throughout her career."

Has recent polling compensated?

No. And they've overcorrected for Trump voters they fear missing after doing so in 2016 and 2020.

We might see IN turn blue by the end of the night.

I'm here and I'm not feeling that vibe - but I admit, I might be missing it. There's a former female Republican state school superintendent running for governor as a Democrat and the DNSC has been pouring money into her campaign over the last weeks as GOP tv commercials try to knock her for having supported Hillary and Bidenomics. We've got multiple battery plants going up because of IRA in dead red counties and those voters know the reason why. And knocking Hillary again when she was right about the threat of Trump leading to Roe going down? They're not reading the room, are they?

And another woman is running against the idiot AG Todd Rokita who caused all the problems for Dr. Bernard that treated the 10 year old Ohio rape victim. Nobody likes this clown, so I hope he goes too.

But Roevember is real, the numbers don't lie. And a significant number of GOP men will also vote to support the women in their lives without telling their MAGA bros. It's never over till it's over, but it's hard not to feel positive heading to bed tonight.

Yeah, so let's wait until we see the ballot results.

We're already seeing ballot results. The Iowa poll is based on votes already placed as well as intentions. Of those women over 65 who've already voted, Harris is getting 2 - 1, and leads Trump when combined with men. And there's a 28 point gap with independent women and a 20 point gap with women overall.

+65 men are +2 towards Harris and Trump's overall advantage with men fell from 27 to 14.

I did not see it reporting on the early voting results. (please correct me if I misread the article)

You did misread it or you missed this:

The poll of 808 likely Iowa voters, which include those who have already voted as well as those who say they definitely plan to vote, was conducted by Selzer & Co. from Oct. 28-31. It has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.4 percentage points.

Maybe this is the link you intended?

That's the same link I posted in #16 where you stated you couldn't find the information. The blockquoted paragraph in #20 was from that same link, not from the one under the #20 post.

I offered you an additional link that outlined the polling methodology underneath my response. Sorry if I confused you.

Nah, that would be Trump and ISIS.

Maybe somebody should tell ISIS that. Our State Department certainly doesn't think they're defeated:

It is pretty stupid logic even for you.

And even MORE stupid for you. The Nazis we defeated in WWII were GERMANS and the GERMAN ARMY. Nazis today only use the name for political purposes, they do not comprise a singular fighting force and they certainly aren't trying to exterminate Jews from the world as Hitler's Nazis did.

ISIS today is still the same people we've been fighting and killing for decades. They've been defeated in battles, but they still exist under the same structures they always have.

Keep proving you're a moron. I'm having fun toying with you.

On topic:

...sorta like neo-nazis.

Ah, no, hence the term NEO moron.

You're really not too bright, are you? Even idiots understand that contemporary 'affiliates' are aligned in ways groups that existed in different eras without any connective thread through time aren't.

ISIS has always been based on decentralization as a means to protect its members fighting against a common enemy, while original Nazism was completely centralized around Adolph Hitler and the German military.

Again, moronic. You're proving your original point is meaningless. ISIS is more a counter-ideal against traditional western imperialism and dominance of weaker cultures through a perverted use of Islam. Ideals cannot be defeated as long as people are willing to hold them and fight for them even in the shadows unlike Nazis who're always willing to identify themselves as a part of their existence.