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#19 | Posted by sentinel at 2025-01-27 03:03 PM
"I wonder how Nancy P knew to sell her Nvidia stock just under 2 weeks ago."
Probably uses AI.
You, too, "can invest like Nancy P" - with a little lag, but no AI necessary and, like "the Congress" outperforming "the market":
Two ETFs - Congressional Dems (symbol:NANC / "Nancy") and/or Congressional GOP (symbol:KRUZ / "Cruz")
|------- "We're often asked why... don't we simply hold the "best" traders in Congress or try to pick off member's options trades?
... We launched these ETFs to highlight what members of Congress are trading. We fully support banning members of Congress from active trading, as does Unusual Whales, our data provider.
When a member discloses a trade, we explicitly choose the midpoint of that disclosure range... no matter what the member actually bought or sold. This choice is what drives all the relative allocations in both NANC and KRUZ.
The wisdom of the crowd is once again delivering superior returns with less risk...
These holdings are all expertly managed, fantastic businesses that generate enormous cash flows. But it is telling that the divisions we see in politics are also present in the portfolio holdings between the left and the right.
The top 10 holdings of one ETF are Microsoft, Amazon, Apple, Salesforce, Alphabet, Nvidia, Disney, Crowdstrike, Tesla, and API Group.
The other has ConocoPhillips, Shell, Accenture, NGL Energy, Philip Morris International, Fedex, Comfort Systems, Intel, United Therapeutics, and PayPal.
... The most important question for now is why the Democratic portfolio outperformed. It isn't that Democrats are necessarily better traders. Something more important is happening.
We are living through the early stages of what it is going to take to rebuild the world in NATO and non-NATO aligned customers, supply chains, and vendors. The U.S. restrictions on chips were really the early tremors of a decade-long decoupling. That takes time to evolve and will fundamentally shift the term structure of interest rates.
This instability is going to create cycles when a hopeful, optimistic outlook might outperform, and there are times when a value-based, everything-is-going-to-hell focus might outperform. ...
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And if you did your DD on "Trump trade," since November 5 the coffee and cocoa futures are up about 50 percent... Far from Greenland... Then again, it just might be a "climate change trade"... Pick whichever "cause" floats your boat, if you care.
OT: Re DeepSeek, it's 20x-40x cheaper cost all-in, and about 50x less computational-intensive (think speed and energy cost) - so, yes it's a Big F**king Deal, even though it's trained on a very different set of data (for now?), so the comparative results are not really comparable at this point or near future.
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