Talarico pulls ahead of Paxton by 5 pts in new TX poll
A little over four months before Election Day, the Texas Senate race to replace U.S. Sen. John Cornyn remains contentious, as a new poll shows the Democratic candidate has opened a 5-point lead over the Republican candidate.
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americanunity
Joined 2007/08/13Visited 2026/07/28
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The poll was conducted from July 15-17, polling 1,048 likely Texas voters, with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.4 percentage points. It was conducted by TPOR, which labels itself as a nonpartisan public opinion research group. Democratic strategist Luke Warford directs it. The poll found that Talarico (45%) leads Paxton (40%) by 5 points in the U.S. Senate race " a 2-point increase from TPOR's post-runoff poll in May " with Talarico continuing to retain strong support from moderates and independents. The poll also found that Talarico's performance is driven by voters saying Talarico better understands the economic challenges working Texans face than Paxton by 7 points, and that they trust Talarico to address affordability issues over Paxton by a 9-point margin.
The poll found that Talarico (45%) leads Paxton (40%) by 5 points in the U.S. Senate race " a 2-point increase from TPOR's post-runoff poll in May " with Talarico continuing to retain strong support from moderates and independents.
The poll also found that Talarico's performance is driven by voters saying Talarico better understands the economic challenges working Texans face than Paxton by 7 points, and that they trust Talarico to address affordability issues over Paxton by a 9-point margin.
#1 | Posted by AMERICANUNITY at 2026-07-28 12:49 PM | Reply
No one in Texas will be hurt by Ken Paxton not being Senator.
#2 | Posted by Zed at 2026-07-28 01:13 PM | Reply
No one in Texas will be hurt by Ken Paxton not being Senator. #2 | Posted by Zed
Everyone in the nation will be helped by Paxton not being Senator.
#3 | Posted by SomebodyElse at 2026-07-28 01:23 PM | Reply | Newsworthy 2
Crush the pedophile protector
#4 | Posted by LegallyYourDead at 2026-07-28 02:11 PM | Reply
"However, the poll also found that 14% of Texas voters remain undecided, with 19% leaning toward Paxton, 10% toward Talarico, and 5% toward Libertarian Ted Brown.
Among Black and Latino voters, Talarico is strongly favored, leading Black voters by 63 points (71% to 8%) and Latino voters by 46 points (66% to 20%).
Paxton, on the other hand, leads among white voters by 20 points (53% to 33%)."
Sounds about right for white Texas... many of whom don't know any black or brown people unless they are waiting their tables.
#5 | Posted by Corky at 2026-07-28 02:21 PM | Reply
"However, the poll also found that 14% of Texas voters remain undecided, with 19% leaning toward Paxton"
Translation: a sizable number of Paxton voters don't want to admit it publicly.
#6 | Posted by Danforth at 2026-07-28 03:32 PM | Reply
-Translation: a sizable number of Paxton voters don't want to admit it publicly.
IOW, people lie in polls? You don't say....
#7 | Posted by eberly at 2026-07-28 03:36 PM | Reply
"IOW, people lie in polls? You don't say...."
No, it's just Paxton has a lot more support than the current numbers are reflecting.
it seems folks are proud to back Talarico. Paxton...not so much.
Considering the state, and who counts the votes, I'm predicting Paxton.
#8 | Posted by Danforth at 2026-07-28 03:44 PM | Reply
"14% of Texas voters remain undecided, with 19% leaning toward Paxton"
Almost three points right there.
#9 | Posted by Danforth at 2026-07-28 03:46 PM | Reply
-No, it's just Paxton has a lot more support than the current numbers are reflecting. it seems folks are proud to back Talarico. Paxton...not so much.
How do you know that? Proud? Where is pride captured in this poll?
seems? I boiled it down to the fact some people lie in polls.
That seems to be what you're saying.
#10 | Posted by eberly at 2026-07-28 03:50 PM | Reply
-don't want to admit it publicly.
a poll?
#11 | Posted by eberly at 2026-07-28 03:51 PM | Reply
Don't poo poo the poll. Even working class voters are favoring Talarico. Then, there's Trump driving down Republican's chances with a PO's electorate:
Trump's approval hits new low in latest poll Story by Fernando Cervantes Jr., USA TODAY 48m President Donald Trump's approval rating has fallen to a new low since returning to the White House, according to a new Economist/YouGov poll released Tuesday, with just 34% of Americans approving of his job performance. www.msn.com
Story by Fernando Cervantes Jr., USA TODAY 48m
President Donald Trump's approval rating has fallen to a new low since returning to the White House, according to a new Economist/YouGov poll released Tuesday, with just 34% of Americans approving of his job performance.
www.msn.com
#12 | Posted by AMERICANUNITY at 2026-07-28 04:11 PM | Reply
-Don't poo poo the poll.
can't help it. Too much skepticism.
#13 | Posted by eberly at 2026-07-28 04:39 PM | Reply
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