Vice President Harris is leading former President Trump in the swing state of Pennsylvania, according to a new Spotlight PA/MassINC poll. Harris is winning 49 percent support in the poll, compared to 44 percent for Trump, in the race for the Keystone State's 19 electoral votes.
A word of caution: A number of other polls came out yesterday in PA, and they all have the race much tighter than this poll does:
Joshua Smithley
@blockedfreq
"Wednesday PA Pollapalooza Recap:
Muhlenberg: TIE
SP&R: TIE
RMG: TIE
" *FocalData: Harris+2
" *Monmouth: Harris+3
Frankly, today is just a rerun of what we've been getting over the last few weeks. Would expect Harris+1-1.5 right now in most aggregates.
Tight!
x.com
A breakdown of 3 of the polls listed above:
Joshua Smithley
@blockedfreq
Incoming right now from @SusquehannaPR and their latest poll of PA!
" Harris: 46%
" Trump: 46%
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Joshua Smithley
@blockedfreq
New @MonmouthPoll of PA (kind of) ...
" Harris: 48% (definite + probably)
" Trump: 45% (definite + probably)
Harris+3 (implied)
As others have said, Monmouth not doing true H2Hs is very problematic. But of note, Harris has better favorables as we've seen elsewhere.
x.com
Joshua Smithley
@blockedfreq
Good morning! First off is @muhlenberg_poll (9/16 - 9/19, 450 LV).
" Harris: 48%
" Trump: 48%
P.S - as you should realize by seeing this, the RW numbers floating around including one claiming that this would be Trump+3, are bogus. Exercise caution.
x.com
Another PA poll out today:
Joshua Smithley
@blockedfreq
A little late to the party, but we have a UML_CPO/@YouGov PA poll out now.
Harris: 48%
Trump: 46%
Harris+2
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