Vice President Harris is leading former President Trump in the swing state of Pennsylvania, according to a new Spotlight PA/MassINC poll. Harris is winning 49 percent support in the poll, compared to 44 percent for Trump, in the race for the Keystone State's 19 electoral votes.
A word of caution: A number of other polls came out yesterday in PA, and they all have the race much tighter than this poll does:
Joshua Smithley
@blockedfreq
"Wednesday PA Pollapalooza Recap:
Muhlenberg: TIE
SP&R: TIE
RMG: TIE
" *FocalData: Harris+2
" *Monmouth: Harris+3
Frankly, today is just a rerun of what we've been getting over the last few weeks. Would expect Harris+1-1.5 right now in most aggregates.
Tight!
x.com
A breakdown of 3 of the polls listed above:
Joshua Smithley
@blockedfreq
Incoming right now from @SusquehannaPR and their latest poll of PA!
" Harris: 46%
" Trump: 46%
x.com
Joshua Smithley
@blockedfreq
New @MonmouthPoll of PA (kind of) ...
" Harris: 48% (definite + probably)
" Trump: 45% (definite + probably)
Harris+3 (implied)
As others have said, Monmouth not doing true H2Hs is very problematic. But of note, Harris has better favorables as we've seen elsewhere.
x.com
Joshua Smithley
@blockedfreq
Good morning! First off is @muhlenberg_poll (9/16 - 9/19, 450 LV).
" Harris: 48%
" Trump: 48%
P.S - as you should realize by seeing this, the RW numbers floating around including one claiming that this would be Trump+3, are bogus. Exercise caution.
x.com
Another PA poll out today:
Joshua Smithley
@blockedfreq
A little late to the party, but we have a UML_CPO/@YouGov PA poll out now.
Harris: 48%
Trump: 46%
Harris+2
I believe those ICE reported numbers also included over 200 thousand with charges pending.
All roaming our streets thanks to Uncle Joe.
Wow, and who's fault is it that the GOP-authored Immigration Reform Bill was nuked with its provisions of addressing the broken migration system when he told Republicans to vote against their own bill?
But better yet, why don't we read the document where ICE compiled all their bureaucratic statistics along with explanation of the current laws they operate under which would have been enhanced in the Trump-killed bill.
Your letter requests the number of noncitizens on ICE's docket convicted or charged with a crime. As of July 21, 2024, there were 662,566 noncitizens with criminal histories on ICE's national docket, which includes those detained by ICE, and on the agency's non-detained docket. Of those, 435,719 are convicted criminals, and 226,847 have pending criminal charges. Please refer to the following chart. It is important to note that detention determinations are made using a few guidelines.So a process of American citizens in full understanding of their role as citizens and members of their own communities, working within the statutory regulations of existent law has led to the statistics revealed on the charts.
First, ICE is bound by statutory requirements not to release certain noncitizens from ICE custody during the pendency of removal proceedings and notes that most noncitizens who are convicted of homicide are typically not eligible for release from ICE custody under 236(c) of the Immigration and Nationality Act.
Second and in limited circumstances when 236(c) does not apply, ICE officers may use their discretion in making custody determinations and release noncitizens with conditions. ICE custody determinations are made on a case-by-case basis and take into account the individual case circumstances, primarily considering risk of flight, national security threat, and threat to public safety. ICE takes other factors into consideration as well, including when a noncitizen has a serious medical condition, is the primary caregiver of minor children, or other humanitarian considerations.
You also requested ICE's current detention capacity. Under the DHS appropriations bill enacted on March 23, 2024, ICE Enforcement and Removal Operations (ERO) is funded at 41,500 beds through the rest of the fiscal year (FY), which is an increase from 34,000 in FY 2023.
Regarding the number of declined detainers since FY 2021, from October 1, 2020, through July 22, 2024, ICE lifted1 24,796 detainers. Of those, 23,591 were declined by state and local law enforcement agencies, and 1,205 were lifted due to insufficient notice to ICE. Additionally, from October 1, 2020, through July 22, 2024, ERO issued 2,897 detainers that were declined by state or local law enforcement agencies and where the subject of the detainer had a subsequent apprehension by ERO.
Thank you again for your letter. Should you wish to discuss this matter further, please do not hesitate to contact the ICE Office of Congressional Relations at CongressToICE@ice.dhs.gov.
" That immigration bill sucked."
Not according to the Republican authors.
They literally said it was a better deal than Republicans could get under Trump, due to filibuster restrictions.
www.washingtonpost.com
Let me guess: Bellringer is lying, again.
Drudge Retort Headlines
Musk Suddenly Realizes He Has No Clue How to Govern (30 comments)
Trump's Coming House Headaches (23 comments)
Lousiana Bars Health Dept. from Promoting Vaccines (14 comments)
Abbott Buys Billboards Threatening Migrants (13 comments)
Musk Raises Alarms by Endorsing What's Known as 'German neo-Nazi party' (13 comments)
German Christmas Market Attack (12 comments)
Clearance Thomas Received More Lavish Gifts from Harlan Crow (11 comments)
Matt Gaetz Report to Be Released on Monday (10 comments)
U.S. Sees Rise in Life Expectancy (10 comments)
Newspaper: Absent Sitting Congress Woman Found in Dementia Care Facility (8 comments)