For the record

We are being chased out of these bases. Because we are unable to defend them in light of the new technologic revolution in warfare.

Cheap drones and ever more sophisticated and relatively cheap to build and our inability to have prepared for defensive munitions are revolutionizing warfare.

Iran, a 3rd rate military, defeated us because we did not learn the lessons of the Ukraine war. We have not had the vision or will to evolve our fighting forces.

That is a simple fact

Losing these bases impacts us operationally, strategically and profoundly in our foreign policy.

Operationally we no longer have bases to project power. the USS Lincoln fiasco is a perfect exemplar. Where previously it would pop into our Bahrainian base to refuel and replenish, now it has to remain on station with active operations. For it to spend a couple of weeks going back and forth to Diego Garcia would leave our naval assets in the Gulf region without CAP and susceptible to attack

That is a massive operational blow.

Amateurs study operations, experts study logistics

Iran is demonstrating an increased capability to expand its offensive power-Piggy was shocked when our base in Jordan was hit hard. There must be some scary intelligence for Piggy to pull out of the UK.

I am sure that there are many other bases throughout Europe but with Putin acting aggressively and with his ability for drone warfare makes our Europe bases vulnerable.

So all of these operational blows are impacting our strategy-not that we ever had one to be honest.

Think of strategy as the plan to meet your goals. Operations are the ways and means to fulfil the plan.

Since WW2 America has been able to project our military power where ever we choose, generally with impunity
Not that that project guarantees success, but it does permit us to dictate operations. Half of victory comes from having the initiative, which we have generally always had, because our military was everywhere supplemented by our navy

We are withdrawing from the ME; we have withdrawn from Iraq. We have lost our bases. We have limited naval capacity to meet the demands

that limits our strategic options. It limits the goals we are able to achieve.

Of course, Piggy has no strategic goals, cause he is a moron.

but, if generally speaking, the goal is to get Iran to surrender, well it ain't going to happen.

But he is certainly betting that we can inflict far more harm on them then they on us leading them to surrender

But, with the operational blows we have taken we have no realistic strategy to meet any realistic goal.

Are we going to run bombers from US bases all the way to Iran, bomb and return? How will we protect vulnerable infrastructure in gulf countries? How will we able to project and commit the level of force we had back in March, when we don't have bases in the region to work from? That means naval aircraft from carriers which has limited operational capacity-see the USS Lincoln

All of that doesn't even touch on the fact that Iran simply will not quit, under any circumstances.

We have made it clear that Piggy will accept nothing but something the Iranians will see as existential.

Compound that with Piggy demonstrating himself as unquestionably not a trustworthy partner, leaves Iran with no option for surrender. they will fight on no matter what because to not do so means the loss of everything.

So, the devastation of our defense doctrine since WW2 is going to have profound ramifications.

Our economy relies heavily on our military capabilities.

Our allies and partners, competitors and enemies are seeing a military that failed to recognize the change in military doctrine (drones and ballistic missiles) see our flight from bases and will react

The least problematic is that they create pacts excluding America or including us but as an unreliable partner. the Gulf states are looking at regional alliances and will soon turn to China

The worst is if these countries stop viewing America as an economic force. that would mean they stop buying our debt and OOOOO we don't want that to happen.

The all, friend and enemy alike, realize the danger of an American economic collapse and certainly have little incentive to push us to that

But

If we continue with the Piggy doctrine-tarrifs, aggressive foregin policy, insulting partners, not living up to treaties like NATO, continue with the war on Iran, if we do not find a way to avoid the coming famine (its being reported that global fertilizer stockpiles are down 40%) well the worst will be inevitable

And I want to stress that fertilizer thing.

Over one-third of the world's traded agricultural fertilizer supply has been disrupted or curtailed due to the closure of the Strait of Hormuz and related Middle East conflicts over the past year

one third

Some of the loss of product yield can be overcome with changing crops but the most vulnerable areas live by a "just in time" food model, meaning the loss in fertilizer will result in lower crop yields, leading to starvation, famine and higher prices

A 10% reduction in global crop yield would trigger severe food price spikes, widespread economic instability, and acute malnutrition for hundreds of millions of people worldwide.

that sort of thing results in global migration.

So, yeah, we ------

thanks magat scum

Thank you

I am hoping that Piggy doesn't escalate after the mid-terms and just TACOs, that would be the best of many really bad options.

But people haven't woken up to the profound impact this war has and will have on history.

America's relationship to the world is going to have a sea change and not for the good

What MAGAT and Piggy don't understand is that our way of life, our security, has been based on our unique position in the world as an arbiter of peace and stability. Piggy is throwing all of that away for good relations with El Salvador, NK and Russia. It's insanity

Best case is piggy doesn't escalate and we live in a new normal with a $30 toll on oil. Low gas prices are a thing of the past.

The fuel price shock due to disruptions in the supply chain are the obvious immediate signs people can see and react to. In America those shocks are relatively light compared to other countries where basic services had to be curtailed due to a lack of fuel. (Typ. American policy that harms other people and we only care when we are harmed).

but the fertilizer issue is a problem that will play out for years

Loss of fertilizer will result in lower crop yield resulting in less food going to vulnerable areas of the world.

That will inevitably lead to local conflicts that push people to migrate to where food is available-that is inevitable and unavoidable.

And when those people show up on our shore, the zero tolerance immigration policy will be useless. Desperate people will take desperate measures.

And magat scum will accept no responsibility or culpability for this mass migration. They will say go back to where you came from even though OUR actions have made those areas unlivable.

Haiiti is an example of this dynamic. Imperialist countries exploited the nation for centuries and then when they pulled out the left the Haitians with a debt that prevents investment. That leads to sustained poverty and violence. Regular meddling in their affairs leads to constant instability. Combine that to a number of natural disasters results in Haitians wanting to flee, need to flee because people need and want to actually live. Then you get assholes like Piggy and Vance screaming their eating cats and dogs, never acknowledging these people are here, in part, because we fucked up their country

And be aware that we have already lost 2 to 3 growing seasons so 2027 is screwed.

And the supply chain isn't fixed at all

We have gotten oil through the strait to around 80% of prewar levels (for the nonce) but fertilizer? NOPE still restricted.

And tankers are still being hit on a regular basis

Speaking of OBL, god forbid we have a significant terrorist attack here esp. given Piggy inviting Iran to blow up LA