Another day of mostly one sided strikes to no useful end awaits us.

#122 | Posted by sitzkrieg

FTFY

Ask a military historian the success rate of piecemeal reinforcement to a military campaign.

Let's ask AI

Piecemeal reinforcement"defined as feeding troops or resources into a battle or war gradually rather than in a single, massive wave"is generally considered a poor military strategy with a low success rate, as it often allows the enemy to "defeat in detail" (destroying units one by one).

2500 marines here

4000 marines there

piece meal

a poor military strategy

sounds about Hegseth

US sending more warships, troops to join war: Report
US-based news site Newsmax is reporting that US military forces are preparing to send several warships along with 4,000 marines and sailors to "reinforce its troops fighting against Iran", citing four unnamed officials.

The Boxer Amphibious Ready Group, which is being deployed from the US West Coast, also includes F-35 fighter jets, missiles, and amphibious vehicles that can be used to carry out land invasions, according to Newsmax.

The latest report comes after the US sent some 2,500 Marines and the USS Tripoli amphibious assault ship to the Middle East.

ayup

The end of the conflict is no longer up to Piggy.

Say he declares victory tomorrow and stops attacking and gets Israel to stop attacking.

Will that open the strait?

Nope

So, we bomb and repeat.

then what?

People need to stop with this timeframe question it is stupid. It's like predicting the length of the Iraq war in March 2003/

People need to understand that Israel's goal is to extend the conflict as long as possible so they can do with S. Lebanon and Iran what the did with Gaza. The IDF WANTS instability and chaos in Iran, they are killing the people in Iran we would negotiate with and all that does is harden Iranian opinion. They WANT Iran to destroy the ME oil facilities. All of that would justify a long term war with Iran.

Netanyahu's aim is on top of that where he wants war to avoid prison.

Those goals conflict with Piggy looking for an offramp.

He MIGHT be able to convince Israel to stop fighting (Israel would view it as a temporary ceasefire and would come back later-mowing the lawn as they say)/

But Piggy need Iran to agree to stop and Iran has ZERO incentive to quit. If they quit, they have no guarantee Israel (and the US) won't be back in a year and would have given up all of their advantage they gained destroying the radar network and shutting down the strait.

that is why we are screwed. Piggy can't taco even if he wanted to and Iran has no incentive to quit and frankly would be stupid to as that would only assure their long-term collapse. It is truly existential for them-either continue fighting with the goal of getting long term security guarantees OR face regular attacks by Israel until their society collapses.

so, no blowing up a bunch of ---- won't solve that problem.

Ask yourself what Piggy's response to the attack on the Iranian and Qatar LNG field tells you.

He FREAKED out on both Iran AND Israel (despite he approving Israel's attack).

That should tell you he has to date vastly underestimated Iran's willingness to lash out. (On top of the complete surprise from day 1 of Iran's ability and willingness to fight back-they have decimated our expensive radar network which has crippled most of our defenses)

That should tell you how sensitive he is to attacks on the oil sector throughout the ME.

It should tell you that Israel has completely different goals than the US and those goals are often at cross purposes. They are assassinating the people we should be negotiating with. They are targeting Iran's oil infrastructure which leads to tit-for-tat.

These are not things Trump wants or expected and he is freaking out about it. Closing the strait shocked him as evident by his begging allies to help him with (though opening the strait is pointless without a ceasefire).

Piggy is on edge which is scary bad

Military strategists largely agree that a U.S.-Israel war with Iran would achieve immediate tactical goals"destroying nuclear facilities, missile sites, and weakening the IRGC"but would fail to deliver a clear long-term endgame. The conflict risks creating a long-term, entrenched conflict rather than regime change, with Iran potentially becoming more hardline.

Key points of consensus include:
Tactical Success vs. Strategic Failure: While the U.S. and Israel can inflict devastating damage on Iranian infrastructure, there is no clear political mechanism for converting this military pressure into a successful, stable post-war government.
Resilience of the Regime: Despite leadership decapitation, Iranian leadership remains resilient, with a high likelihood that the regime would stay in power, or be replaced by a similar, more entrenched hardline faction rather than a pro-Western government.
Regional Instability and Proxies: The conflict risks expanding, with Iranian proxies potentially unleashing attacks throughout the Middle East, leading to a broader regional conflict.
Backfire Risk: Strategists warn of a multidimensional "backfire," where targeted killings harden Iranian public opinion, boost the regime's legitimacy through nationalism, and strain Western alliances, particularly regarding the diversion of resources from the Ukraine-Russia conflict.
Limited Utility of Airpower: Air campaigns, while effective at destroying physical assets, are unlikely to cause a regime collapse and may accelerate Iran's drive for nuclear weaponization as a survival mechanism.

The prevailing view is that while tactical victories are likely, they may not lead to a lasting or beneficial strategic outcome.

We are 3 weeks in.

And yes, easily.

90,000,000 people.

During the Korean war we destroyed all but 2 buildings in the NK capital and they fought on

We leveled entire cities throughout Germany in WW2 Not only did they not quit they increased production.

In Vietnam we dropped how may millions of bombs? Did that help us win?

Hamas didn't quit after 2 years of absolute devastation and starvation.

We are dropping 5,000 lb bunker busters to take out missile launchers (assuming they were actually in those caves). Is that a cost benefit ratio in our favor?

AND WE MURDERED THEIR LEADER WHO HAPPENED TO BE THEIR RELIGIOUS LEADER.

They can stand 4 more MONTHS of this. I can't understand how people think they WOULDN'T fight on. Especially since we attacked during negotiations twice, we murdered their leaders, and this is existential for them. No they won't have a problem continuing this fight.

Can we? NOPE.

$200,000,000,0000 and that is just the beginning.

Countries are already running out of oil and LNG. Fertilizer will be through the roof-the planting season will be hurt badly, and it is too late to fix that meaning food shortages come summer and fall.

How much pressure do you think Piggy can take when all of these economic hits start stacking up?

Again, air power will not work no matter how much is destroyed. It in many ways unites the country against a common enemy. Killing their children will tend to foster a nihilistic attitude of hatred.

And all they need to do is keep like 5% of their military capability to keep the strait closed.

Do yourself a favor and research the military end of it, not just the war porn guys by the strategists the ones who study this stuff. They are ALL saying this is a disaster unfolding of historic proportions.

No, you stupid ---- I insult you because you are a lying piece of ---- troll, but I ALSO defend all of my arguments

YOU troll, cause you're a ----

the measure is not the amount of insults dumbass; the measure is the argument made and it's supporting evidence.

You post troll ---- then insult when called on it

Cause you are a ---- troll

Self-admitted ---- troll.

Now declare victory and piss off ----