To be clear.
Broadly speaking thus war will end even remotely as a victory if ships can traverse the strait and gulf without constraint
Other ends (like denuclearization or arms control)are icing on that cake. And remember that "victory " is worse than we had pre war
To achieve that end Iran must agree to the terms ie to agree to not interfere with traffic
What will motivate Iran to agree to that? Well that's the $64000 question
Some think bombing sufficient
I don't
But anything beyond that is certainly difficult if not impossible to achieve
Iran will want some guarantee that Israel and America won't be back in a year. Given our untrustworthy behavior in negotiations and in fact Trump bragging about using negotiations to fool the Iranians I don't see that as an easy fix
Iran will want Israel to leave Lebanon which given how Israel dealt with Gaza doesn't appear as likely
Irans nuclear material seems critical to Israel buy in for any ceasefire and that is not even remotely possible to seize without Iranian agreement
America cannot achieve a separate ceasefire from Israel
So despite the lies that talks are in progress we are in the same irreconcilable dilemma
The war is lost and the only question is how much we will pay before trump realizes that fact
Clearly, anybody who makes this claim is just jealous of "rich people".